IrishRob17

If people would like to see reports and report their current conditions I recommend checking this out for those unfamiliar:

https://mping.nssl.noaa.gov

9 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

That explains why snywx who I believe is only a couple of miles from you seems to do bette snow wise. I believe he's at 850 feet. It can make a noticeable difference as we all know. 

He's more than a couple miles west but yes, elevation is always a factor. I'll see a difference between my yard and the hill (over 500) I drive over to get to the main road.  It's really cool when an inversion sets up between me and the top of the hill. 

2 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

What is your elevation there?

385

8 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

Always amazed me how well the models pick up the hudson river further north of the city and the maps responded accordingly. This could be one of those Nyack right on the river gets an inch or two and on the other side of the palisades cliffs gets 4” a mile away.

I’ve seen them pick up on the Wallkill River as well at times which is impressive IMO

18 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

At this stage (5 miles west of the river, 600ft asl) anything less than 6 will be a disappointment, expectations are for 8-10, anything over 10 is gravy.

My expectations has been 4-8" here for days, I see no reason to change that. I did mention to folks that there is room to move upward a touch but I'm just not confident enough in it until now casting starts in earnest. 

10 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Sint Maarten

So you can pet the pink flamingos again?

1 hour ago, DavisStraight said:

Purchased several watermelons I assume.

And a couple crates of other various types of produce. Someplace I have a dollar bill he autographed.  He took a bunch of photos with people in the produce aisle. I had tickets to the show and he gave the store a shout out from the stage. 

Just now, wishcast_hater said:

Can you post the URL for these maps. I can never find them ? I need them for Dutchess County.


.

https://www.weather.gov/aly/winter

27 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

Its so fucking obnoxious. Bunch of children whining and shitting up the thread because its not going to snow where they live and they thought it was 3 days ago. 

Its impossible to keep up with all the crap posts that should be here or the January thread instead of there.

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I would’ve blamed Gallagher if he hadn’t died a couple years ago.

In the late 90's I worked in a grocery store and Gallagher came in before a show in Eisenhower Hall at West Point.  He was a super friendly guy.

Flurries in the air again today so we should have four days in a row with snowflakes… be still my beating heart 

14 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Well, the Euro upped the QPF along with the GFS, this weekend is getting even more interesting.

So the latest Euro showing 3.5-4.5" of QPF for both storms by next Wednesday...

Well, the Euro upped the QPF along with the GFS, this weekend is getting even more interesting.

3 minutes ago, Blizzwalker said:

Would a more Easterly track for 2nd storm on 1/10 give NW areas a chance of mostly snow ?

I think we'll see some snow at the start but that storm has cutter written all over it.  We'll see what happens though.  The 12z GFS got more interesting for this weekend, so we'll see if the other models start getting stronger as well of if it was a fluke GFS run.

1 minute ago, Blizzwalker said:

Hope u get up to the mountains. Meanwhile, I hope we all get some winter down here !

Flurries here right now.  I'm confident that we'll get some winter this weekend, next Tuesday continues to look concerning for flooding issues.

7 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

I read the main thread less and less other than Walt's write ups and the moderator post. I get a lot more pertinent information for our area reading the New England Forum posts than most NYC metro posts. 

Agreed on Walt's posts and the other solid posters but I just look at the models myself, most a readily available now for free.

52 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

SNE took all the snow even from the NW crew. Yes they will still get snow but the majority is going to fall in SNE 

Nobody “took” anything, that’s not how it works, it’s not how any of this works. Take a break for a few days. 

The second system could really do some flooding damage with a couple inches of rain in a relatively short amount of time. 

2 hours ago, forkyfork said:

my sister invited me to stay over sat night and her house is at 1k' in sussex county. good luck city slickers 

Which side of 95 and 287? If you’re on the wrong side this storm won’t count. 

1 minute ago, ForestHillWx said:

Yikes is the main thread a wreck. Glad to be a part of the NW of 287 crew; even though I’m about 10 miles north of 78 as the crow flys. 

Come on elevation!

I cant help but wonder if these winter weenies paid attention to weather year round that they would understand the models better, like their biases, which one to use when, etc. 

Another thing that will never change, weenies taking their snow maps very seriously 

4 minutes ago, psv88 said:

35 now. Maybe tonight is the night we freeze 

Finally up here, after a low of 32 this morning, below freezing now at 31. 

32 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Waiting with some kind of vested interest to see what this weekend’s potential might end up bringing  

I'm with you on that, the 12z GFS flips the bird to folks wanting snow around here. The Canadian looks a bit different than the GFS. One run with lots to go but clearly nothing should be locked up in either direction six days out. 

Happy New Year ladies and gentlemen. Can't speak for all but 2023 had some good times and more crappy times, here's to a better 2024 on many levels for all! 34/32 under mostly cloudy skies...yet again.