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IrishRob17

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Everything posted by IrishRob17

  1. https://www.nysmesonet.org/weather/maps/Tmin-2m 27 for the low here. My average last freeze date is 4/25
  2. There was a midnight high of 46 here overnight but dropped into the 30s just before 6am and have been there ever since. 38/36 currently with occasional drizzle and mist.
  3. The vegetation/woods are typically tinder dry this time of year until every thing greens up. That's why NY has the annual burn ban from March into May.
  4. That western batch just moved through, a total of .17 through the tipper, 46/42
  5. Agreed. There was a nice batch of rain out near Scranton but the bulk of it is going to my north, I just getting clipped by the southern edge. Time will tell what happens with that batch out in western PA.
  6. Yeah, I still have plenty of mud that argues against D1, along with measured precipitation stats to back it up. That said, I do not know the metrics that the Drought Monitor uses. We'll see what happens after leaf out and with the future pattern.
  7. Looking at the past 12 months: Actual: 40.96" KMGJ average: 40.99" My average over 20 years: 45.25"
  8. I noticed that the past two months have had above normal precip so that got me to dig in a bit on the water year (starts Oct 1). Here are my numbers over that period: Actual: 16.13" KMGJ average: 18.22" My average over 20 years: 20.24" So we are below average in this neck of the woods but nothing crazy in todays climate.
  9. .91 up here and a tremendous long lasting clap of rolling thunder around 10pm. It lasted so long I was questioning if it even thunder for a few seconds.
  10. From this afternoons SPC update: ...Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast... Model guidance indicates weak buoyancy across the Mid-Atlantic states into the Northeast ahead of the cold front. Appreciable heating has occurred through midday with temperatures rising through the upper 70s deg F. Despite some mixing of boundary-layer moisture, SBCAPE 500-1000 J/kg will support scattered storms developing this afternoon. Steepened 0-2 km lapse rates and moderate low to mid-level flow will probably yield scattered damaging gusts later this afternoon into the evening (55-65 mph).
  11. The dew point is above the dreaded, for some of us, 60 degree line.
  12. From the SPC update: ...Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast... Instability is expected to weaken with northward extent ahead of the cold front across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Still, scattered thunderstorms should develop this afternoon and spread east-northeastward towards the coast through the evening. With enhanced low/mid-level flow present in association with the lead shortwave trough, some of this convection may pose a threat for damaging winds and perhaps a tornado or two, before it eventually moves offshore.
  13. That's was kinda wild, sitting outside, 75 degrees and then the more northerly winds won out and we could feel the cool air moving in like walking into air conditioning, down to 68 now and dropping quickly.
  14. 76 here, that 55 is 10 miles to my NNE
  15. The battleground between air masses is right above here, kinda wild with battling wind directions.
  16. Up to 78 with the front on my northern doorstep, within miles.
  17. 77, cooler temps not too far to my north.
  18. Discussing weather is a meltdown, didn’t you know? Up to 64 up here, first shorts day, aside from working out, of the year here.
  19. Hoping it's a soaking, just saw that wildfire near Greenwood Lake along the Appalachian Trail...again.
  20. 29 for the low up here. I noticed the change in maps as well and that you have to click on the + or - to zoom in and out.
  21. Yeah, highs are only going to be 25-30 degrees above average up here.
  22. While I did laugh at Forkys post above, I agree with you. Some on here, for whatever reason, think that if one discusses/posts what a model is showing that the poster is la, la, locking that up but most of us know better than that. Others, not so much perhaps.
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