From Uptons discussion:
.KEY MESSAGE 3...
The next chance for unsettled weather could come this weekend with a
passing offshore low. The GFS and ICON are more aggressive showing
phasing of the northern and southern stream with a surface low
deepening off the Mid-Atlantic coast. This would bring better
chances for seeing wet weather and windy conditions. Both the ECMWF
and GDPS are either offshore or weaker with this system, so there is
plenty of uncertainty. Stuck with NBM slight chance PoPs for now,
since even the more aggressive scenarios bring the low a little too
far offshore.