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Everything posted by IrishRob17
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Very similar here, just measured 3.1” on the board, we’ll see how much that compacts down. 4” on the ground though so I’ll go with that LOL
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I have a bit of a mix now but it’s still more snow than sleet at the moment, up to 30/28.
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Latest mesoscale discussion: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2248.html Mesoscale Discussion 2248 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025 Areas affected...Southern New York into New England Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 021834Z - 022230Z SUMMARY...Heavy snowfall rates between 1-2 inches per hour remain likely across southern New York into portions of New England this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Latest radar mosaics show the development of a snow band across portions of south/southeastern New York in response to strengthening frontogenesis between the 925-850 mb levels across the Mid-Atlantic/New England coast. Surface observations and web cams under this band are reporting visibility reductions between 1/4 to 1/2 mile, which given weak winds across the region, are likely being driven primarily by moderate to heavy snowfall rates. Broad-scale ascent ahead of an approaching upper wave and more focused mesoscale ascent within the warm advection branch of an intensifying low-level cyclone (augmented by frontogenetical responses) will remain favorably phased through the remainder of the afternoon over the greater New England region. This will continue to favor widespread light/moderate precipitation and the maintenance and/or development of heavier precipitation bands. Consequently, snowfall rates between 1-2 inches/hour will remain likely for areas north of the surface freezing line. Nearly isothermal temperature profiles from the surface to around 850 mb suggests that areas near the surface freezing line may continue to see rapid fluctuations in precipitation type between snow, sleet, and potentially freezing rain. ..Moore.. 12/02/2025
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One of my sons works down in Chester, NY and just reported a flip to sleet there.
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2.2” on the board as of 12:30pm, up to 30/27 with light snow continuing.
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A link to the mesoscale discussion for anyone who hasn’t seen it yet:https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2247.html
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Agreed, it has nothing to do with who is in office. It’s what you stated and it allows the government to make exceptions to the law to allow things to return to normal ASAP. If the news explained it properly it would not be nearly as ‘news’ worthy and people would not find it nearly as ‘exciting’.
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Various vehicle crash reports coming in around Orange County including an oil truck rollover in Warwick. Light snow, 28/25.
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First flakes right at 9am quickly turned into light snow, 29/22.
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You can check out a lot for free here: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ You’re welcome even if you feel like you’re on the fringe. I don’t really know what to expect here as I’m right along Interstate 84 but at just under 400’. I’ve had storms go both ways here, where I flip to rain because of my elevation and other times I stay snow because I’m far enough NW. It’s always a nowcast here.
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If you're expecting hundreds of weenie posts on every model run you'll be disappointed. Most of us here know how to find the models ourselves (its not 2004 anymore), we do look at them, and we don't feel the need to breakdown each and every run at nauseum. I know it's a weather board and everyone enjoys the weather in their own way. Some of the other NW regulars can throw in their thoughts here but I see this thread as a no fluff, meat and potatoes kinda of place.
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Nice. I'm not judging, just bustin balls. I put some lights outside on Labor Day Weekend as it's nice to sit out there in the evening with a cocktail under some lights. One of our trees goes up Columbus Weekend and gets decorated for fall/Thanksgiving. That tree will obviously now get decorated for Christmas and then for Saint Patrick's Day, after which it will get put away. It's the dark time of the year so I like to bring it some light.
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And we thought all your decorations went up on November 1st each year
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Hopefully it’s interesting. 2020, as well as other December’s, jaded me so much that it’s hard to get my hopes up, especially if we torch right before Christmas.
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As I’m sitting here watching college football listening to my father-in-law repeat whatever the commenters say I’m reminded of last year when he was here around Christmas…and used my snow board as a serving tray for the wildlife place to dump leftover food on…yeah, the wife had to talk to him about that.
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Who's this?
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People take life, and certainly their snowfall, way too serious and thus get butthurt when Forky comes in to stir the pot or lay down some facts. I love the cool and cold weather and hate the dews but I don't hate Forky and the other "warmnistas" because if one looks objectively at their posts they are more right than wrong IMO. Have a great Thanksgiving Rich and thanks for visiting the hinterlands thread LOL.
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Welp...the snow weenies are back on the board. Happy Thanksgiving one and all!
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Your work deserves lots of positive feedback. I know it was a huge effort and I know it is filling a void in at least my neck of the woods. Much appreciated, hopefully I’ll have lots of reports this season to reply to you with.
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.39" brings me to 2.13" for the month, temp up to 50 now.
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And there goes the GFS 06z
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@Volcanic Winter
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There was another one a few years ago in December I believe, great pattern, didn’t produce. Not being a Debbie Downer, just looking at the facts.
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Agree that what the models show are not facts. Hopefully this year breaks favorably for us but I learned years ago not to count on the chickens too soon.
