stormy
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Everything posted by stormy
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I warmed about 1 degree overnight. This thankfully prevented significant icing on trees. 7 inches of compacted snow with 35 degrees at 9:15.
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I'm at 31.6 and the light rain is beginning to freeze on trees
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The 18z 3kNam says I should be 35 degrees at 4 pm !!! HO HO, 27 minutes to go and I'm at 31.6.
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The dead Euro is cramping my late afternoon 4 model blend. Guess I'll have to use 6z. I was hoping to get my ice threat tonight down a few notches below .27"
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My greatest fear for tonight is white pine limbs already laden with snow from yesterday. Longer limbs wont take a lot of additional weight before they begin to snap. I lost about a dozen last week.
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8" with several reports of 9/10 within 10 miles. For tonight, I tossed the NAM 3k which unreasonably depicts .80 zr to 0 zr within 10 miles. A 4 model blend of .23 zr seems reasonable. I expect mostly on elevated surfaces. 32 degrees at noon.
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5.0 inches with heavy snow during the past couple of hrs.. 28.2 degrees
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The models have been advertising this for over 24 hrs. Potential has diminished somewhat during the past 18 hrs.
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Light to moderate snow has been falling for 4 hours. 1.5 inches on the board. 28.6 degrees
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NAM nest gives D.C. proper about 2 inches more than 06z.
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Reports of 4 - 5 inches west of Roanoke in southwest Va. and southern W Va. in the Beckley region.
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My 4 model blend at 7 am is 8.7 inches. Began snowing about 8.
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I was surprised about 2 hrs ago when first looking at the HRRR and hour much it dry slots my area.
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Remember when we talked a few days ago?
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At 5 am the NWS posted a rather stupid WSW for my area of 4 - 6 inches when the models were at 8 inches. My forecast is 6 - 12. I fully expected the NWS to wake up and they did at 3 pm, raising from 4 - 6 to 5- 10.
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I can certainly do that.
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At 6 am the NWS was woefully deficient with their WSW giving my area only 4 - 6 inches. I was and am at 6 - 12. At 3 pm, NWS woke up and raised expectations for Augusta to 5 - 10.
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We'll chat on Thursday. After the Euro was totally blind 72 hrs. ago for my region, it needs to re-earn respect. Perhaps?
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The 18z GFS confirms Tue to be a central Va. special............................
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I would have never believed this
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.35" snow/sleet/zr , .25" acc.
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The ECM says atmospheric memory will rule the roost for Tue/Wed In the 60's looking at hand drawn weather map on the evening news, one friend would sometimes say. "If you see that L in Arkansas, another snowstorm is on the way.
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I'm working on the afternoon update for my newsletter right now. Thanks for the heads-up!!
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That LP trac from Mobile to Norfolk on 22/23 as GFS depicted would be a classic if it verifies.
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Here's the deal..........................
