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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    Flood watches up for most of upton's territory
  2. Brian5671
  3. Brian5671
    Euro drier than the meso's but clearly west
  4. Brian5671
    Euro out through 12 looks to be west
  5. Brian5671
    the general public is not that smart but in fairness the media has overhyped so much in general people just tune out
  6. Brian5671
  7. Brian5671
    PWATS close to 2 inches
  8. Brian5671
    Not sure I'd go with globals here...it's a small scale system IVT trough, meso's likely leading the way. I believe they did the same on Ida...globals missed the historics rains there
  9. Brian5671
    Unlikely-someone from NYC to RI/SE MA is going to take it on the chin here
  10. Brian5671
    Even half these amts will be bad given the saturated ground and amts of 4-6 inches in a fairly short period of time
  11. Brian5671
    IVT trough almost always ends up NE-could even end up further east with a RI/MA jackpot like the Euro has
  12. Brian5671
  13. Brian5671
    Crazy if this even comes close to verifying...and agree the IVT trough rule-usually a bit N and E of model forecasts
  14. Brian5671
    dream on...
  15. Brian5671
    Both nams are wildly different though with the area of big rains which appears to be a small geographic area-would think this has a high bust potential eitherway
  16. Brian5671
    Ton of rain where I was just west of Philly but it weakened as it paralleled the coast and drew in continental air....
  17. Brian5671
    yeah the usual correction is north so that's in the back of my mind...
  18. Brian5671
    I still have hope it gets suppressed south....
  19. Brian5671
    I'm talking about above normal anomolies not gross temps, but if the GFS is to believed it's a week of +15
  20. Brian5671
    I wouldn't say that...heat tends to overperform these days...
  21. Brian5671
    Sheet drizzle and mist/fog
  22. Brian5671
    all the models show it now-let's see if it happens models have busted horribly here over the past 2 days
  23. Brian5671
    complete bust here only .15 today
  24. Brian5671
    what a joke we've had about .15 on the day here...
  25. Brian5671
    Looks like the 7-10 split on radar for CT for today..half going east half going west...all these cancellations for a couple periods of light rain....
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