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Everything posted by Brian5671
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Looks like just about everyone gets the goods today
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Wild storm here-some tree damage. Looks like some sort of boundary as storms are training along it with nothing to the south of here
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crazy for an ensemble smoothed mean
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Very rare to get an all day washout this time of year. Spoke to 2 people at work yesterday who said "it's supposed to rain all weekend" Ummm no. 90% of the time is rain free.
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That seems to be the main threat with this (hvy rains)-with so much time over land masses hard to see how it becomes a strong/windy storm.
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The PRE might be the biggest effect on us-the actual storm appears to recurve OTS
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yeah but it's the ICON
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89 here
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Gets old. Hate to wish away summer but I'm looking forward to some cooler weather come September
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Just missed me to the north-could hear the rumbles but no rain here outside of a light shower overnight
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Onto August-models showing a cool shot in the heartland but seems like we will be on the edge of that at best...
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Kind of like monthly temp departures--every month is +2 around here.
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Part of the issue is that everyone went hysterical on the big season so the expectations are high...Even a busy season does not alway equate to landfalls... and the cold/snowy forecasts are a staple from certain forecasters-just have to see through the hype....Last winter even remotely cold snowy was 20-21...and even that was a great 3 week stretch and not the whole winter or anything close to it.
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Season doesn't really get going til August. That said, the Nina is not going crazy so that could lead to a reduced # of storms.
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Night time warm front coming and it's already juicy out...I'll bet we all get something
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Often seems that it ends up N and E of the initial forecasts as well...
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models are awful-the 12z 3K NAM-has nothing over eastern LI yet it's pouring
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That was so overhyped like 95% of tropical systems here.
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SE NJ always seems to be a hot spot for showers and T-storms.
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Steady rain has moved in here
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models all over the place with the placement of rains-RGEM has almost nothing while the 12K NAM is very wet
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NAM way east with it.
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Nice break from the soup today and give the AC a rest
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The break from the big heat was nice the last few days
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Took Upton a long time to reduce the rain chances-they stuck with a bullish forecast too long. We got an inch here Monday night but other than that almost nothing.