Brian5671
-
Posts
43,440 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Brian5671
-
I love snow and cold just as much as the next person, but we have to take off the snow goggle and address the elephant in the room-a god awful pattern that has really been around all fall and has yielded above normal temps, and well below normal precip....
-
Doesn't mean anything when the PNA is severely negative (forecast to -4SD and even briefly to -5SD) and the cold dumps out west-all the blocking does here is lock in stale air that is marginal at best. Fast flow shreds everything as we get closer to any storm systems-look what happened last weekend we all ended up with .20 of an inch of QPF. Wash rinse repeat for the foreseeable future. - want some action? Head to the PAC NW-historic pattern setting up for them.
-
-
LOL that will never happen.
-
Rain for xmas day. No cold air
-
given how dry and poor the pattern is, I think this will trend drier and further north as we move closer....last weekend's system ended up much further north than modeled even a day out and LOL how much snowier the weatherbell maps are than TT. Does JB fluff them to show more snow for the weenies?!?!?? LOL
-
72 hr GFS has maybe a snow shower over CT and rain shower over LI nothing south of there. Yawn, pattern just blows
-
Not seeing much if anything on the 12z NAM and RGEM -
-
A run through 8-1-2 would be alot better. With that -PNA we risk all the cold dumping out west
-
Totally different-we had a foot of snow mid-December 2020 which portends an above average winter snow wise. This December looks like an 0 fer.
-
it's up there-December is on track for 2rd or 3rd warmest of all time in NYC.
-
....we'll have our chances but it won't be in the next 7-14 days most likely.
-
my other concern is that the ATL blocking dissipates in a couple weeks. Then we will have problems on that end. Things just not lining up
-
Seattle goes into the deep freeze next week that's where all the cold air is going with the -PNA. We end up with stale cold and battling the SE ridge from time to time for the next 7 days or so.
-
I call it as it is. A crappy pattern. Maybe it changes going into January but we continue to kick the can forward, first it was 12/15, then 12/22 now we're looking at 1/1. A crappy Pacific continues to dominate.
-
need a fresh supply of cold like we had yesterday/today. That airmass as depicted won't do much for most of us here.
-
stale cold air
-
Wow. Didn't see too many forecasts for a super torch this month.
-
with not much to get excited for in the short to medium range, discussion turns to long range....I always know it's a bad pattern when we see day 10 OP runs posted LOL. December should finish +3 to as much as +4 depending on how the last week turns out. with regard to clippers agree, only way they produce is if there is an arctic airmass in place and the clipper moves just south of you. No arctic air anywhere for the foreseeable future.
-
anything is better than this pattern
-
Fantasy land regardless of what it's showing....that's 10+ days out
-
dry pattern hard to break....
-
Let's hope. Just want to see things move up in time vs always being 10 days out
-
crappy pattern for the foreseeable future. I'd be happy with a cutter for the time being to break up the dry regime....
-
Exactly. Cant just hype "cold and snow right around the corner" from 11/15 to 3/15 every year. The current pattern is not great and any changes are still in fantasy land range at this juncture. We still continue on with the very dry pattern which is a problem too...
