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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    winds on euro look limited to coastal areas
  2. Brian5671
    looks like it may hold off until later tomorrow evening at least based on latest model runs (especially north and east of NYC)
  3. Brian5671
    some issues with a "cold" November 1. Canada remains warm in a relative sense. 2. Record warm SST's east of us. Even if Canada were cold, the cold would tend to be not the hit and hold type given the warm waters. We've seen this in past years. 3. Stronger WAR given the warm SST's. Positive feedback cycle. This will keep coldest departures to our west most likely.
  4. Brian5671
    best winds here were yesterday around 11am. Heavy rain the main story here with about 3 inches total
  5. Brian5671
    it's where the people live....
  6. Brian5671
    that's mostly people just regurgitating what JB's peddling
  7. Brian5671
    heavy rain again here. Radar filling in. We had about a 2 hr break before the line began pushing back west
  8. Brian5671
    new NAM shows the wind potential mainly over the water for our area with the exception of far eastern LI
  9. Brian5671
    rain shield backing west so getting back into some squalls now
  10. Brian5671
    It did (as many do in the end)
  11. Brian5671
    eventually we'll see rain push SW again,but doubt it's as heavy as what we saw on the front end
  12. Brian5671
    dry slot has pushed in here-way north of where any model had it. Amazing the NAM and HRRR could bust that close in....
  13. Brian5671
    BDR has gusted to 44 already....
  14. Brian5671
    blinding rains and winds. up to about 2 inches of rain. New NAM crushes SW CT with another 3-4 inches of rain
  15. Brian5671
    New NAM crushes LI and SW CT With another 3-5 inches of rain
  16. Brian5671
    Both NAMS are further east and weaker-the regular nam starts the loop south of Nantucket....rain the main story for us verbatim not wind
  17. Brian5671
    Part of the reason I haven't watched a TV weather forecast in 15 yrs
  18. Brian5671
    This. I don't think the winds would mix down to the max potential once the heavy rains are done-by the time the wind field gets here alot of the heavy rain is largely done. So we'd have winds but maybe 50% of what the models are showing.
  19. Brian5671
    rumbles here with some heavy rains off and on
  20. Brian5671
    Still drenches us with the loop south of Long Island. Big rainmaker no matter what.
  21. Brian5671
    I could see an advisory here for wind but agree. The areas that get the 5,6, 7 inch rain amts will have the most impact. Right now looks to be somewhere to our SW for that piece.
  22. Brian5671
    Trees mostly foliated and CT sucks with power outages.....
  23. Brian5671
    It still drops 7 inches of rain over N NJ
  24. Brian5671
    winds often overdone on these systems most times-there's always the March 2010 type event but rare. This one looks to have flooding as the main issue.
  25. Brian5671
    yeah we're in the low 70's here with party sunny skies...
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