Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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most analogs are from colder times...can't really use much before the year 2000
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It's getting late early. If the 16-17 storm is mostly rain (except far N and W) that take us out another 5 days for anything meaningful....
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Might be December 2020 storm?
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Agree-sometimes the goods come right as the pattern is breaking down....
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2009-10 likely had that
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If Friday is a rainstorm it will be a disappointment so far. Early model runs were good cold/some frozen events mid month on.....Northern areas did do ok last night but the souther half of the forum was mainly rain/white rain.
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HRRR regenerates some precip as we go through the eve.... -
coating on colder surfaces here
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always 10 days....
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13/14 too...although March was bone dry which stunk.
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overnight too which helps
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Tough in December w/o arctic air, Jan/Feb different story....
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That's a good look on the EPS-would be surprised if that doesn't deliver something.
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airmass is not great SW of NYC-probably mostly rain if that's the case
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I think it trends even further SW with that block
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A wet snow bomb would be fun for someone
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The good news is that -NAO/-AO in December is often followed by more bouts of blocking later in the winter. there are a few exceptions...89-90 it disappeared and never came back....
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Going to be a small window then...LOL. But yeah the xmas warmup is a tradition around here most years.
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Yep too far SE for Lake Effect and too far NW for noreasters.....
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yeah terrible model-usually misses any cold until it's on us.
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I would say the same here on the coast of CT-recent marginal events are alot of white rain or car toppers...Would that still be true 30 years ago?
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Not offered on Youtube TV-took me a year to realize it wasn't there lol
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Decembers in general that wiff in the snow dept are usually bad winters....there are exceptions of course...
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As long as it doesn't go on for an extra 10 days lol.
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low 60's for a couple of days....well if it ain't going to snow let it torch.
