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Everything posted by Brian5671
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
Probably not a concern this year.... -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
JB is not really relevant anymore-his last few winter forecasts have been so bad it's almost laughable...he will miss the NE on temps by 5-6 degrees easily. -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
It's too early-the old system of the 1st week of April was better. Of course every year we hear about getting rid of it but nothing ever changes due to issues with both ways (DST-dark Dec/Jan mornings, EST, darker summer evenings) -
Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
Extreme skepticism should have been applied when a winter with zero cold air and zero snowcover across the nation is suddenly expected to turn cold/snowy for a month.... -
Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
You think it's bad here-RIC has averaged 2.8 inches of snow per season the last 5 yrs.... -
Yep-you'd normally have temps in the 20's this time of year given the source region-instead it's 35-40
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Take a look at the visible satellite in the midwest and lower Canada-almost no snowcover which just makes it warmer
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
last weenie band delivering-up to 3 here -
Saturday February 16th - Another CT/ Cape special?
Brian5671 replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
About 2 inches here -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
About 2 inches here as it winds down -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
For sure there will be a band of subsidence with this setup -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Certainly possible-better airmass with the lower DP's and a nighttime event. -
^^^ off the charts warm!
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
SW CT winter -
Gets tough by then, but stranger things have happened. N and W still in the game til the end of March as well.
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice snow shield on the 3K NAM -
that's why most long range guidance should be taken with a grain of salt good or bad its subject to wild changes...
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
the last 8-9 yrs have been an absolute blowtorch overall -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
2012 was great once we all accepted it wasn't coming. Morch had a couple days in the 80's here and the month as a whole was warm sunny and dry. I'll take it again -
Definitely a big takeaway...mild/snowless winters don't usually turn cold/snowy. (exceptions like 06-07 do exist) So had to be skeptical of calls of a big pattern from mid Feb to mid March-in reality it will be a window of about 10-12 days like the one in January.
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Just have to hope we don't get late March/early April onshore flow garbage...
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Big part of the reason cold was lacking this year....
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
There's little to no snowcover over the midwest and great lakes region too-so any "cold air" will modify bigly not to mention ice free great lakes -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Brian5671 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
All in cycles too...70's to 90's were not great, 2000-2018 was great....2019-? crap -
yep-fast flow might be our final nail. if it comes down to that it will be 2 brief intervals of cold/snow chances in an incredibly warm winter.
