Brian5671

18Z GFS late last week had a crazy run with 30-50 inches of snow in PA and some nearby places-it was gone on the next run-but yeah the 18Z run (happy hour run) has shown some crazy solutions over the years

4-8 would take some close to seasonal averages....

Too many setting the bar too high for the next event. If it's a HECS or even MECS you won't know until 2-3 days prior, not 5-6

some things never change

GFS doing GFS things at this range...

Ice is often overdone on these models...heavy ZR doesn't accrete well-just runs off.

Out of our area-but the 0z Euro has close to 3 inches of ZR in the south!

You want the GFS and its products showing a miss south at this stage.

Agree-you want it wrapped up into one system. Back edge snows rarely if ever work out as well

Blizzard of 96 had brutal cold in place ahead of it.

close to 6 inches here all 3 events combined

Surprised you're that low-BDR is closer to 20 inches STD

Hard to accrete heavy ZR

Yeah but likely another 1-2 for most 3 events in 36 hrs

Coating here light snow