BuffaloWeather

Temps will remain warm and could become quite warm well into the 70s or even heading toward 80F depending on if we can push into the warm sector. My how quickly things can change...

Five down, two to go for WNY to reopen WNY meets two additional state benchmarks to reopen https://www.wkbw.com/news/coronavirus/five-down-two-to-go-for-wny-to-reopen?fbclid=IwAR3rOTasu6-v_iTY_JcuF7XF_xEPJmEHzELFCVllJVgdH2G_N6KEdEQhDvM

NWS for Rochester Saturday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

You will hit 70 sometime between Sat-Mon coming up. How much would you like to wager?

Get your shorts on bud, summer is coming.

EW YORK ...Allegany County... Wellsville Municipal 21.0 800 AM 5/09 ASOS Angelica 22.0 700 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer ...Cattaraugus County... Olean Airport 21.0 800 AM 5/09 AWOS 1 WSW Olean 23.0 730 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer ...Chautauqua County... Jamestown Airport 24.0 800 AM 5/09 AWOS 4 ENE Jamestown 27.0 700 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer 1 SW Dunkirk 29.0 700 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer Dunkirk Airport 32.0 800 AM 5/09 ASOS ...Erie County... 3 SW Wales 25.0 700 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer 1 N Derby 29.0 930 AM 5/09 Trained Spotter Buffalo Airport 29.0 800 AM 5/09 ASOS ...Jefferson County... Watertown Airport 27.0 800 AM 5/09 ASOS ...Lewis County... Highmarket 20.0 535 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer Lowville 25.0 700 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer ...Livingston County... Avon 27.0 700 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer Dansville Municipal 29.0 800 AM 5/09 ASOS ...Monroe County... Rochester Airport 29.0 800 AM 5/09 ASOS ...Niagara County... North Tonawanda 28.0 700 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer Niagara Falls Airpor 29.0 800 AM 5/09 ASOS ...Ontario County... 3 S Canandaigua 27.0 800 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer 3 W Geneva 28.0 700 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer ...Oswego County... Oswego County Airpor 30.0 800 AM 5/09 ASOS ...Wyoming County... 6 SW Warsaw 21.0 700 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer 3 W Wyoming 23.0 700 AM 5/09 Co-Op Observer

Lt. Gov. Kathy Hochul announces “control group” of local leaders will work together to reopen WNY https://www.wivb.com/news/lt-gov-kathy-hochul-announces-control-group-of-local-leaders-will-work-together-to-reopen-wny/?fbclid=IwAR3182pZLaOB7ee5HyZFHq41x5t7kvBcsoFKhn72PINBOcjjkUrbE-ZCMdw

You guys have no idea how happy I am to get warm weather. I was going a little insane with no gym, no going out and this terrible weather.

Opening my pool in 2 weeks! Painting the deck next weekend.

FINALLY!!! Looks to have sticking power too!

Agree with you, doing a great job. I know the NYS pension fund is doing well, but his budget is always terrible.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3083599/france-had-covid-19-november-hospital-says-after-analysis-chest Study finds person who had the disease 10 weeks earlier than the country detected cases Contagion believed to have spread slowly until the end of February before accelerating rapidly

France found out that the virus was there in November. Hundreds of people from the USA travel to France on the daily. It would be safe to presume COVID has been in the USA since early December which means it ran unmitigated for 4 months?

He was already 6 billion in the negative before this all started.

Sorry, 50-80% are asymptomatic or have minor symptoms. 15% have severe symptoms, 5% need hospitalization. That Sweden post wasn't from reddit, from another forum.

Cuomo just interviewed begging for money from Trump. What if every state starts asking for 20-30 billion to balance their budget? I just don't see that happening.

The Flu season is usually only a few months in winter. We don't know how many people got affected by this yet. 50-80% of people are asymptomatic according to CDC. The virus was in the USA in Late Nov/Early Dec which meant it ran rampant for 4 months. How many people have really been hit by this? Probably tens of millions+. You're using 65 as as the age. Go look at the age from the flu season of 17-18 in the USA. 643 people died under 17 years old, we're not seeing that in this country from COVID. Did you read my posts from earlier in regards to Sweden, Herd immunity possibly being lower then thought and that the spanish flu of 1918 only affected 28% of Americans. We have to stop using the entire population as a dataset as people who are asymptomatic are going to be the majority of the population.

According to the CDC the flu in a normal season kills quite a bit more young people then covid does. (Depending on what age group you stop at) https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2017-2018.htm

My point is the majority of those older and more susceptible to the disease already stay at home. My grandma rarely left the house at all besides shopping for food, and now my aunt does that for her. We have to take certain measures to protect those vulnerable, but for the rest of us we have to open up the country before we destroy more lives then we help. Of course there are but the percentage is not enough to shut down the entire country for. We face HUGE risk everyday. I think driving our cars is unnecessary for most jobs. I've been in 2 life threatening car accidents where I thought I was going to die. Why don't we all work from home to prevent this from happening? School shootings have been going up and up each year, why don't we teach our kids from home to stop this threat? As soon as we walk out the door we face numerous risks to our life that are preventable from staying at home.

Herd immunity may only need 10-20 per cent of people to be infected https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/herd-immunity-may-only-need-a-10-per-cent-infection-rate The Spanish Flu of 1918 only infected 28% of America.

A post from another forum I follow. Looking at the curve of deaths for Stockholm, it further proves the absurdity of the "immunity threshold" claimes of 50-67%. Stockholm has approximately 20% immunity by sample sized antibody tests made. This is the number of dead the last 48 days. Remember that there is a lag in the death toll numbers of approximately 3.5 weeks (from infection to dead), and the direction of the curve is further enhanced by the numbers of new intake of ER patients that is only a 3rd now compared to the peak (didn't find a good curve of that). Rolling average of 7 days I think. So why is the number of dead down by 50%? Immunity is maybe 20% in Stockholm like in NYC. If the immunity threshold was 50-67%, what has made Stockholm's curve go down significantly, all curves are pointing down. Why? Social distancing? Stockholm has very lax restrictions. Schools are open, resturants are open and sometimes crowded. Business is open. How can Stockholm have been able to reduce deaths by 50% while other places -- with a lower immunity rate, i.e. they are not as far along the curve as Stockholm -- are not being able to reduce their curve much if at all yet despite complete lockdown? This is the question that Michael Levitt poses. Is Stockholm really doing such a better job at social distancing than all other places that hasn't reached immunity around 20%? There are also perfectly understandable math behind this: Herd immunity may only need 10-20 per cent of people to be infected | The Spectator Just looking at the headcount like you do with vaccine program is very misleading when you are looking at immunity from recovered patients. Nature will of course infect those who are the most likely to get it first, as a consequence, those who come in contact with the most people and/or are the most susceptible to get the virus will get immunity first when nature is doing the selection unlike a random vaccine program. To quote Nobel Price winner Michael Levitt: "You could say that each of these places stopped because they had wonderful social distancing, or we can simply say they stopped because there was no one left to infect." Someone need to explain this or it should be much more talk about it in main stream media. Have Stockholm, the one place in the world with maybe the least social distancing right now, really done a "wonderful" job with social distancing, is that the reason? Over and out.

My place was under reduced hours for the last 6 or so weeks. Monday we go back to pretty much normal operating hours. We have a 3 phases before we go back to normal.

Need more contact tracing/testing. I believe we are on day 6-7 for decline in hospitalizations?

Parts of NY will be opening May 15th! https://www.wkbw.com/news/coronavirus/parts-of-southern-tier-set-to-reopen-not-here-in-wny?fbclid=IwAR27CWs2TopGyPH5G7irc9LaXvoa46tlLIeL4wrSljj9YCMtdhu-Fvw9tNY