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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. Hrrr is worst model for lake effect IMO. It had buffalo getting 8” as the event was happening. They got nothing lol. Take the rgem and slash qpf by 25-30%
  2. 18z eps are pretty far northwest. I expect a correction on op run tonight.
  3. EPS look pretty close to OP run, maybe a tiny bit more north.
  4. The GEFS is pretty far south too. I highly favor suppression over amped. In 2 weeks I favor amped though, think we get into a more cutter pattern again.
  5. Gets put into the shredder as it heads east. The farther west you are the better I think with this storm. The NE forum was praying for -NAO for years and years and they finally get it and its blocked every storm the last 6 weeks there. Blocking isn't the end all be all with winter storms. A lot needs to come together for it to work.
  6. EPS look pretty good for most of the area with next storm.
  7. Wow look at all those 30" totals, really good storm, winner was springville with nearly 3 feet https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF
  8. It's been about right here. I think the highest it got was 2.5" and it hit on it, but just a few miles SE of where it was forecasted.
  9. An actual winter forecast discussion, it's finally here.
  10. Some big totals just SE of my location
  11. I feel like I'm more worried about suppression then amped with that high.
  12. Picked up almost a foot the last few days here 10" on the ground and places just SE of here picked up 30-35" with 28" on the ground.
  13. Canadian with a pretty nice overrunning event, just need it a little further north.
  14. GFS brings some synoptic snow with next system, no longer a cutter
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