BuffaloWeather

Got this in Halo today. Good enough to post to the tube.

New thread! Happy new year all!

December will go down as one of the warmest in recent history for all Upstate recording stations. December Temps BUF: +6.5 ROC: +4.4 WAT: +5.1 SYR: +7.3 BING: +5.7 Buf average Dec. temp: 38.1 Buffalos top 3 Dec temps 42.1 (2015) 38.1 (2021) 37.6 (1923) Buffalo will finish with the 2nd warmest December on record this year and likely the 3rd warmest year on record with last year being #2. Only 2012 was warmer. So in the last 2 years we've had 2 of the top 3 warmest years on record. Snowfall Totals so far: GSB Cities The 2021 - 2022 Snow Season Normal Average to Date This Time Last Season Normal Seasons Average All Time Season Snowfall Record Binghamton 14.1 25.9 51.6 83.4 135.2 inches (2016 - 2017) Rochester 14.0 30.5 11.7 99.5 161.7 inches (1959 - 1960) Syracuse 13.7 40.6 14.8 123.8 192.1 inches (1992 - 1993) Buffalo 10.7 34.0 33.8 94.7 199.4 inches (1976 - 1977) Albany 5.5 16.2 27.4 60.2 112.5 inches (1970 - 1971) Lake temperatures are also near record highs We will finally see the Pacific relax with the record breaking -PNA in the next few weeks and the CFS look very cold with a near perfect pattern for the lakes for January. This will allow the cold air that was locked away in the Northwest and SW canada to finally be delivered eastward. With January being the coldest month of the year these departures will be impressive. There are several opportunties for snowfall the next 10 days and the long range outlook looks quite good for winter lovers The first event will start tonight into tomorrow morning with a general 2-4" followed by some lake effect snow for those along the Lake Ontario shoreline There will be a brief warmup Tues/Weds and then a arctic front will go through in the middle of the week. This will lead to a brief window of LES for both lakes. The Canadian would lead to lake snow warnings for East/northeast of the lakes with a very impressive event on Thursday/Friday, the other models show LES but not nearly as strong Following this we have to watch a window next weekend for a potent synoptic event. The OP Euro is the farthest SE with the GEM/GFS farther NW Looking even further out here are the EPS Ensembles for next 2-3 weeks Good luck to all and may the wind direction forever be in your favor.

Yeah those are weird maps from KBUF and a weird long range discussion based on what models are showing. There is a very brief warmup Tues/Weds. They've fallen off quite a bit.

Only Rochester.

“I love children, the only problem with children: they grow up to be people, and I just like animals better than people.” #RIPBettyWhite

18z nam

Absolute legend. I'm rounding up, she made it to 100.

Euro drops the PV over us in 8-10 days. That would be too cold, lake Erie would freeze in like 2 weeks.

This time period needs to be watched for a more potent system. Currently a little too far west with the track, but too far out to take anything seriously right now. EPS and GEFS have it.

Medium range on all the models look good. Lots of shots of LES as well.

The Ukie has been acting quite weird the last few months.

Long range still looks good/okay. New thread coming later.

GEFS are further SE then the OP

If only we could lock in ICON for next week, has a great LES event.

The storm hits WNY late tomorrow into Sunday morning so there is potential there hitting at night.

Very close for BUF/ROC. Looks like a Toronto special.

GFS tracks south of Pittsburgh but not enough cold air being drawn into the system. It's a perfect track for Upstate if we had cold air.

147 pages since this thread started Nov 1st and all we got was a few dustings. Can you imagine when we get a real winter?

Sizzlecuse being warmer than Buf makes me think the thermometer at BUF isn't broken after all. Maybe Buf/Syr are broken for the warm and Roc is broken for the cold. Something is definitely up with Roc therm. They are always cooler than everywhere else in NYS.

How warm was December 2015? It's 4 degrees above 2nd place. What the heck happened that month?

Not sure of Syracuse December record but a +7.3 has to be top 2-3?

Lake Erie is at 39 degrees, Ontario at 40. Average for the date is 35 degrees. However most of the lake is still in the 40s.

December Temps BUF: +6.5 ROC: +4.4 WAT: +5.1 SYR: +7.3 BING: +5.7 Buf average Dec. temp: 38.1 Buffalos top 3 Dec temps 42.1 (2015) 38.1 (2021) 37.6 (1923) Buffalo will finish with the 2nd warmest December on record this year and likely the 3rd warmest year on record with last year being #2. Only 2012 was warmer. So in the last 2 years we've had 2 of the top 3 warmest years on record.