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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. BuffaloWeather
    Its tough for your place to get a big one. You need a ton to go right. NW flow is very transient and doesn't use Ontario to the full. Your best outcome would be a big synoptic event with a cold NW arctic flow behind. That way you get 1-2' from the storm and 1-2' from the LES. West flow generates the strongest band off Ontario and WSW/SW off Erie. The "blockbuster" events off of both lakes are always in those 2 wind directions.
  2. BuffaloWeather
    Yeah. Me and you are good with similar wind directions. But you've been skunked for years so I'm cheering for you to get a big one.
  3. BuffaloWeather
    Posting 210 hour snowfall map. I see arctic air, I see changing wind directions and I see good synoptic support. Its too far out to post low res global model snowfall totals.
  4. BuffaloWeather
    Yeah next week looks good. This is getting within range finally on the Ensembles. Most of the stuff I was posting was 3-4+ weeks out, this is next week. Much more accurate.
  5. BuffaloWeather
    I see some pretty good lake effect on almost all models next week.
  6. BuffaloWeather
    Yesterdays totals https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF
  7. BuffaloWeather
    You're right it's a cutter pattern.
  8. BuffaloWeather
    Do I see a clipper pattern with arctic air developing in the not so distant future or are my eyes deceiving me?
  9. BuffaloWeather
  10. BuffaloWeather
    1630 is really high for recording station nice
  11. BuffaloWeather
    Bing nws reporting 2” so far. What elevation are they at? They really benefit in these marginal temp winters. It’s the only real way to beat the les areas. Buffalos recording station is the worst positioned out of the golden snowball cities.
  12. BuffaloWeather
    Moderate/heavy snow here
  13. BuffaloWeather
    Just one example of many if you go look at LES archive Dec 1-3 2010 The event began quickly and evolved from a departing major synoptic storm which drenched the region with 1 to 2 inches of rain early on Wed. Dec 1st. Temperatures started the day in the 50s but fell rapidly as the storm departed.
  14. BuffaloWeather
    Had tickets to Hamilton musical today, they canceled 2 hours before the show due to lead actor getting covid. Really hope I get to see before they leave.
  15. BuffaloWeather
    light/moderate snow here right now, giant flakes. Going to go for walk with dog since these events are so rare now adays.
  16. BuffaloWeather
    I don't know if people know this or not but some of our lakes biggest LES events come right after our warmest winter temps. We need a big cold front to come sweeping through after a massive cutter. It will finally throw this pattern change into fruition.
  17. BuffaloWeather
    So this is actually within reasonable timeframe, not weeks out like guidance has been for awhile
  18. BuffaloWeather
    The GEFS trended SE by a few hundred miles, that piece of energy as a few have pointed out is not even near us to be sampled. Going to be lots of back and forth next few days
  19. BuffaloWeather
  20. BuffaloWeather
    GFS
  21. BuffaloWeather
  22. BuffaloWeather
    To far fair the CFS show warm anamolies every month. I showed the euro vs CFS data awhile back and the euro destroys the CFS.
  23. BuffaloWeather
    If we're not gonna snow I hope we at least torch. I despise the cold and dry thing.
  24. BuffaloWeather
    Exactly what I said earlier, toss the GFS as far as the long range NAM. Look at GFS today for same time frame LOL 12z 18z
  25. BuffaloWeather
    GFS has decent hit for BUF
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