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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. BuffaloWeather
    A really good illustration of what is happening from the New England Forum, they have great discussions over there.
  2. BuffaloWeather
    Gfs loves to dangle carrots. 1-2 good les events a year and I’m satisfied. Last year checked that box Last year was much better than the year prior. I don't think we had one good LES band over my place which is pretty rare for a winter.
  3. BuffaloWeather
    I go on most sub forums and most Mets were buying it. Most professional outlooks had a cold/snowy December.
  4. BuffaloWeather
    Way out in clown range but the end of GFS shows the potential if that cold air gets to the northeast. With that blocking in greenland it would be some epic stuff with open lakes.
  5. BuffaloWeather
    It should and would be an epic LES pattern. However, its been stuck at that look at the 10 day-2 week timeframe for the last month. It keeps getting pushed farther and farther back.
  6. BuffaloWeather
    Once a pattern locks in, it really locks in. I sense there will be some cliff jumpers coming if this comes to fruition.
  7. BuffaloWeather
    My fence got fixed tyvm! $5300 down the drain but it looks incredible. It made it through that last wind storm with ease
  8. BuffaloWeather
    I’m starting to get the urge to go again. I may go this weekend solo. I orphaned sawteeth last year but not a fan of hiking solo in winter up there.
  9. BuffaloWeather
  10. BuffaloWeather
    The summits don’t usually have a lot of snow. It’s the 1/2 mile below the summits that do. I’m at 38/46 for high peaks planning to finish next year. I follow adk trail conditions and there is 2-3’ on most peaks. The wind blows the bare summits like whiteface snow all over. You need to find the protection of the trees to find depth.
  11. BuffaloWeather
  12. BuffaloWeather
    If ya'll get real desperate you guys can come hike a ADK high peak with me. Always a few feet of snow on the tops. In good winters 6 feet+
  13. BuffaloWeather
    Yeah we've been saying it for awhile on these forums while others along the east coast require more blocking. It's virtually impossible to get a good LES pattern without a -EPO.
  14. BuffaloWeather
    We need PAC help. You can have atlantic blocking all day but if you have that warm SW flow there is little hope of a good pattern.
  15. BuffaloWeather
    Dark horse candidate for epic January melt would be @Thinksnow18
  16. BuffaloWeather
    GFS saves the melts temporarily.
  17. BuffaloWeather
    Totally forgot about him, he has a chance. I'd put the odds at about 33.33333%
  18. BuffaloWeather
    It will be a close match between @TugHillMattand @rochesterdave. I've also seen some good melts from @lakeeffectkid383and some epic ones from @WNash But his are understandable as he hasn't really gotten a good LES yet north of Buffalo. Nothing beats the New England melts though, those are crazy.
  19. BuffaloWeather
    I meant mainly the New England forum but yes.
  20. BuffaloWeather
    I was in denial to list that season as an analog because it was such an anomaly but the potential was always there. I still think it doesn't end up like that one. Would be fun to read the melts on the forum though.
  21. BuffaloWeather
    Yep this reminds me of 2011-2012 almost to a tee. It was one of the top 2 analogs. We had a decent 2 week stretch in January then nothing the rest of the winter.
  22. BuffaloWeather
    KBUF writes how poorly the models have been. .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... The global models continue to have poor continuity resolving the evolution of shortwaves passing through a general zonal flow across the country. The period of focus for precipitation will be Friday Night through Saturday Night, with rain snow at onset becoming plain rain...before ending as a rain snow mix. However the speed of these shortwaves, and their influence on the broader synoptic pattern is yet to be resolved.
  23. BuffaloWeather
    Models are really all over. This is Sunday Snow game at foxboro?
  24. BuffaloWeather
    Maybe a christmas miracle?
  25. BuffaloWeather
    I also chase so it doesn't have to happen in my backyard for me to enjoy it.
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