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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. My point this morning is the Euro is still king and the CFS are trash.
  2. Just to show you how bad the CFS is. It's predicting we finish below average for december as of todays model run. lol
  3. That extreme negative PNA has allowed the warm Pac air to dominate the lower 48, that changes around new year.
  4. That's a nice -epo with a relaxing PNA on GEFS ENS mean, in peak winter thats a fantastic pattern. EPS shows the same. The typhoon weakened and shouldn't affect too much going forward.
  5. I’m a seasons in seasons guy myself. If it’s not going to snow give me 50s and sunny. Mid 30s with rain and clouds is just brutal.
  6. Chicago is going to set its all time record for latest accumulating snowfall this year. It's going to smash the record.
  7. I don't blame you but that typhoon resulted in a delay of MJO going to phase 7 by about a week. That's why were a week behind.
  8. Just remember January is the coldest month of the year on average so negative departures almost certainly means lake effect as well. Even slightly positive departures in January result in snow in upstate.
  9. Cold air delayed but not forgotten, just give me one good LES storm this year and I'm happy. Both EPS/GEFS show a good clipper pattern showing up in January. We 100% take that with warm lakes.
  10. I would be surprised to see any snow here. Thinking rain showers for entire event
  11. Yeah its going to be a warm christmas, Hopefully january is rockin! 40 degree lakes in mid january should get us going.
  12. The eps is 54 model run average. You should be using the eps and gefs for anything beyond 3-4 days.
  13. The only snow next 10 days on euro is tomorrow. Not exactly a good pattern for late December. We also get a mini torch for 2 days next weekend.
  14. Yeah this December has been crazy. Here are the highs at BUF the last week 50, 67, 45, 48, 47, 58, 64, and I think it was in the 50s at midnight today. Average high is in the upper 30s. Potential for top 5 warmest December.
  15. Gusted to 66 on 12/11 and 58 yesterday at BUF Yesterdays departure was +24 +7 for the month
  16. I’m also a lake effort guy so the upcoming pattern has virtually no chance at a good les event. It’s not a terrible synoptic pattern, not the best though. Somehow Buffalo will go 40+ many days with this pattern.
  17. Not a good look. It’s more of the same pacific dominated flow with cutters and south flow. Cold air bottled up in Canada
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