I think we still may have a mid week threat. A lot can happen in 5-7 days in this pattern. I wouldn't write it off just yet, have to wait and see how the weekend plays out before we can really nail down what will be our threat window(s).
The GFS miss on the 22nd has me at 8 degrees while it's blizzarding on the NC coast. That usually doesn't happen.
CMC is a hit and looks like a decent one for the 22nd.