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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    CMC is 2.6 QPF for dc, let's just bomb this thing out and hope we get crashing 850s in the CCB.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I'd sign for the CMC now! It's not a bad run and somehow gets us heavy snow despite the primary going to WV.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    This is the known hazard of living in the mid atlantic for miller B's, it can (and mostly does!) happen but lets see, there have been times where it has worked for us. Hopefully the Euro AI continues with beefy CCB for us. Also like seeing that weathernext on our side.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    lol if we get CCB and it’s 42 oh well we can’t win
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    AI gfs looks good gets us with CCB
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    While hopefully not correct the ICON is a realistic fail scenario with the coastal bombing just a tad too late for us. Again, not saying this is going to happen or that the ICON is a good model but it's a realistic way this could not work out for us.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Little early to worried about ratios, gimme this precip distribution all day any day.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I think if the Euro AI has the right idea (big if of course) we are going to have crashing 850s and really good ratios for the CCB. Surface temps will cooperate with that storm position in February.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Damn that looks fantastic. Soooo hard not to get roped in with these looks lol. Oh well may as well push all the chips in because this is probably our last big chance anyway. If it fails we can track the nice sustained warm up for spring.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah of course that could be the final outcome, but it’s just not to see the ops advertising that.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    One thing I will note is the that right now nothing is showing our typical miller b fail scenario, the more dud runs are south, not north, which I think is good. If the models were showing us getting skipped north every other run I’d be mad nervous.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Such a good run…..this is gonna be stressful to watch for the next few days. It will good to keep in mind miller B crush job DC to BOS isn’t common and there is a chance we end up on the outside looking in. That said, let’s keep this right where it is LFG!!!!!
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Ridiculous CCB action on euro ai, basically perfection for us. Just need this to hold for a few days.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Perhaps but it was the first to get it sort of right and then the first to get it all the way right.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Oh my! That’s a wild ensemble mean.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah I’m not talking about the specifics like that, I’m talking about the general Synoptics of where the storm would be.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro ai locked on to what would basically be the final solution for yesterdays event around 108 hours, but it had the general idea right of a storm tracking to our south well before that, and well before the other models.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I thought this model was generally doing pretty well, rarely see it posted.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah with lasts night storm at this range the euro ai basically had the idea right while the euro op had a major blizzard for New England which of course didn’t happen. Euro ai gets the Synoptics right and then as we get closer the other models refine the forecast.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Classic @Heisyteases us with a euro is gonna join the party then vanished.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro ai has a decent amount of rain for us through the end of its run. Maybe we can starting denting the drought on the way towards spring.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Let’s juice this thing up at a paste bomb at 33 degrees. Would be fun as hell. Hopefully the euro and euro ai keep trending.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That’ll be better than your frontal passage lolololol
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looks like we’d have some help with it falling at night too.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Could be a nice stats padder/paste bomb for the interior. Hopefully keeps trending.
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