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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Models going nuclear at this range is what we want of course. We know the 20-30 inch kuchie maps are for fun only this far out, but I’m starting to believe we get a major winter storm now.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    CMC precip distribution looks similar to the AI’s
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    This is gonna be a gaudy clown map for dc geeeeze
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Pretty big run to run change on the GFS at 500, fair to say it isn’t really locked in yet.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I mean yes, of course the pattern looks to be very cold. But all these years of many many many 35 degree rainstorms has taught me to be wary until we are very close.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    You’d be surprised how quickly this can all trend north and we end up with cold rain.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Just blend all guidance and our region is the cross hairs. We may finally get the region wide storm we’ve needed for about a decade.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    lol I hope you’re right but I won’t feel comfortable until about hour 72 or 48 after last years Feb debacle.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Back edge in New Mexico is a good thing
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    AI GFS is less suppressed than its 12z run.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That was the one that trended north in the last few days. Perfect 6 inches for dc if I remember correctly.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    We are trying so hard to not jump the gun on talking about a big dog, but with the AI’s showing it it’s so hard not to.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I thought the control was the op member of the ensemble but I could be wrong.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    So tasty looking! Let’s get this to Tuesday/Wednesday please then it’s game on.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    And that’s still damn good! I like we where we stand.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Temps starting at 20 in dc and dropping throughout the storm ending in the low teens.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I think they both actually did better, they never went out to sea with it.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Crazy uncle UKIE with a much less suppressive look. Looping to 168 the precip is on a decent trajectory for us and the high pressure is closer to Montreal than overhead.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Great sign for us! Thanks for posting. Let’s KEEP the the EPS on board with that GEFS look plz Lordy.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    AI GFS being way north of OP is a good sign.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    If it fails I’m gonna need to see the EPS do a post “lost storm” press conference where it apologizes and says it let down the whole forum again.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Bee discussed but 0z eps looks fantastic for next weekend. Looks to favor a clean snow event vs ice.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah it hasn’t been great but we actually have a chance at a decent period.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    With a little supporting cast it seems, the time to piss and moan is when we get a rug pull at 72 hours, not when it looks pretty ripe a week to 10 days out.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    EPS Looks good for next weekend, why the panic already? We’re 7 days out. We know ops almost never lock into a solution 7 days out.
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