JenkinsJinkies

Anything more than “T” at the airports would be sufficient to end the streak.

Is there a wildfire somewhere in the region? I’m seeing an odd smelling haze.

Is this just a convoluted marketing technique sponsored by Lexus?

The mid month cool down got can kicked the same day it was predicted

I’m walking back my snow prediction even further. When does the contest start?

Rinse and repeat for Jan and Feb. The SER never gives up that easily.

How much are you willing to bet that on November 15th there will have been no pattern change and the board will be hyping up an early December pattern change?

We’re even getting Lucy’d with that. Friday’s chances collapsed overnight.

02-03 was a Niño

And it’s the euro they’re basing it on, which lost its luster years ago.

First can kick of the season. I’m debating making an “Is it ever going to rain again?” thread after Election Day.

Perhaps placing your met temperature gage is a place that’s a giant plane of pure asphalt might skew the results…

Found this in New York metro: The part I'd like to quote is: "The NAO fell to a preliminary -2.751 on September 24th (all-time September record: -2.371, September 12, 1971). That was the 9th lowest value on record. La Niña winters following September cases where the NAO fell to -1.900 or below featured a predominantly positive NAO. The most recent such winters were 2016-2017 and 2022-2023. The mean temperatures for those winters in New York City were 39.3° and 41.0° respectively. The 1991-2020 normal value is 36.2°. A warmer outcome is favored by the October run of the C3S multi-model forecast for Winter 2024-2025." This winter could be historically bad... so bad that my snowfall prediction might be too optimistic...

The dry steak might end for me locally on Friday.

That blob over DC has to be the urban heat island

I've brought this up before, there are times where it looks like the dry pattern is about to change but it doesn't. We get thrown a bone or two and then the rain stops again. See also: April and September 2023

It looks like the early November pattern change may have collapsed.

Well no more CWG for me, not after the events of today.

21-22 was less than an inch away from climo at DCA.

So it’s going to shoot into the 70s that week. Got it.

I expect it to be near the lower ends in each band. 3-5 for the metros <1 for Richmond 40-45 for Mt. PSU

Tomorrow is the critical day 10 mark.

Tropical tidbits isn’t a wall to wall goose egg anymore either

So in two weeks the the forecast will suddenly and epically collapse, got it.

Here's my preliminary snow prediction for DC. 3-5 inches, possibly from a single event. Then a week later it's in the 60s for about 5 days in a row.