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JenkinsJinkies

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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies

  1. Based off that map I’d be getting slightly more snow than PSU
  2. Less than 3 days out and no collapse or significant walk back.
  3. The sustained torch for this upcoming week got walked back to 3/4 days.
  4. How much of this is people accounting for modeling accuracy beyond 5 days? Or is most of it people in the “denial” stage of grief?
  5. Warmest high in the 7 day forecast for me is 50, and that's a week from now.
  6. And will be over a week out of date when they re evaluate on the 31st.
  7. If that happens I feel that the next 8-10 winters will be wall to wall mild and snowless just to spite you.
  8. It’s interesting that the sustained warmups are being can kicked this year.
  9. There was a dusting not too far from Parkville.
  10. That’s the urban heat island for you
  11. I’m getting a hefty snow shower. No accumulation though.
  12. Is that how we got that snow event on the second day of spring in 2018?
  13. In an area that's frequently on the margins like ours, wether or not the sun is out could mean the difference between being above or below freezing.
  14. I'm referring to the weekend storm, though they're also seeing the long ranges potentially punting most of January.
  15. I mean if New England is capitulating then it's going to be bad here too.
  16. Capital Weather Gang now thinks that December will be warmer than normal overall.
  17. They're announcing last rites for January on the New England board, massive pac puke wave on the way.
  18. For DC January 2018 had mild spells but the month overall was below normal by a fraction of a degree.
  19. Christmas 2017 had two possibilities on the models 10 days out. One was a cold shot and the other was widespread 70s, the cold one verified.
  20. In fairness when the mood switched 2 weeks ago I changed my expectations from less than an inch to at most 6 inches for the metros. I knew this form of ENSO never gives us those 18in - 2ft storms. I didn't change my contest entry though because that would've for sure jinxed it.
  21. Second actually, but I've been lurking since 22-23. I used CWG to track between 16-17 and 22-23.
  22. PSU has been hinting at the models showing a SER Pac puke fest sometime after the new year and he made a post explaining how that setup is usually self sustained for weeks on end. He's not 100% on board yet because he said some pieces aren't in place yet but given our luck over the past 8 years...
  23. Has winter long range ever looked this bad in mid December?
  24. How would you feel if snow misses us to the south like in 2017-2018? The Capital Weather Gang even wrote an article back then that said something along the lines of "the number of southern cities that have more snow than DC this winter is embarassing".
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