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The Waterboy

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  1. The Waterboy
    12z CMC is interesting...
  2. The Waterboy
    Merry Christmas all!!!
  3. The Waterboy
    Congrats from NW Arkansas on a white Christmas!!!! Super happy for you guys out East.
  4. The Waterboy
    3 ft in western OK! LOL.
  5. The Waterboy
    00z GEM went absolutely nuts with the 29-31st storm. 15” for me and still snowing at H240. Laughable scenario but fun to look at.
  6. The Waterboy
    There was a comment in one of the other forums about the 12z NAM bringing the storm onshore further south into Central CA. Not sure if that matters any at this point but worth noting. It seems like there are still a handful of different possible scenarios on the table. Would like to see the 12zEuro continue its trend from 00z.
  7. The Waterboy
    Looks like our chances for a Christmas miracle are slim and dwindling. 18z GFS does have a nice storm on the 30th.
  8. The Waterboy
    Nothing super exciting on the 12z Euro. It’s back to showing cold on the 24th and 25th but pushes to the east pretty quickly. No precip to speak of at all.
  9. The Waterboy
    Looking at the 12z runs the NAM is a bit drier and the GFS/CMC ‘slightly’ better. That’s probably grasping at straws though. The changes weren’t substantial regardless. But still have 12-18 hours to go. Also sounds like some precip may be virga due to very dry air initially.
  10. The Waterboy
    Not sure if it matters but the 00z NAM look slightly more interesting for Tuesday. Still nothing too exciting but maybe a trend in the right direction? Edit: The 3km NAM still looks like crap.
  11. The Waterboy
    7 inches for me in North Bentonville. I was definitely in a sweet spot. Had multiple hours of moderate/heavy snow. Definitely a great Pre-Christmas gift.
  12. The Waterboy
    3-4 inches in north Bentonville. Still coming down with large flakes. Edit: Just measured 5 to 5 1/2 IMBY.
  13. The Waterboy
    Sleet transitioning to snow in NWA now.
  14. The Waterboy
    I’m in Bentonville. I would love to be in the sweet spot for once!
  15. The Waterboy
    Yep, one of the TV’s mets last night had accumulations of a dusting to 5 inches. They typically don’t want to predict accumulation totals until it’s literally falling from the sky. All I care about is that we end the 7 year drought.
  16. The Waterboy
    00Z HRRR looks good for OK through AR. Amounts taper off in SW MO.
  17. The Waterboy
    Steve, I am a novice at best so I read mainly and post very little. No need to clutter up the threads with pointless chatter. But I do have a question if you have time to educate those of us who aren't experts. What exactly are the Day 11+ Analogs? What data are they pulled from? And do you have a feel for how reliable the data is? Thanks in advance for the lesson. I always enjoy your posts. They are informative with the facts and appear to be unbiased. Thanks.
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