Violentweatherfan

24 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Exactly. This does not have much moisture with it at all. And if we are counting on ratios to save us, remember it will be near 30, we aren't talking teens. 12:1 imo.

At the surface we will near 30, but upper levels will be plenty cold to produce high ratio snow.

1 hour ago, Newman said:

NWS upgraded the NW burbs WWA to 3-5" on the latest forecast package. If the NAM is to be believed, there could be an iso 6"+ in there across Berks or the Lehigh Valley. Depends if we get some good banding to set up across that area, otherwise i don't think rates or snow growth will be spectacular. Snow comes in around 7-9pm, gone by 10-11am on the NAM. That's a solid 14-16 hours of snow. But, we won't be seeing consistent 1" hour rates or something. 

 

Good post in the MA subforum regarding how good(when in its wheelhouse) the 3K name is with temperature profiles. 

8 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Why are you using the HRRR at this range?

And with Kuchera snow map

Pessimistic about the Kuchera snow ratio 

Looks like the squalls are going to dry up before getting here.

28 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

  I remember when Chief Halftown used to be at Crystal Cave. 

Wow, blast from the past. 

6 hours ago, forkyfork said:

this weather is dreadful. thankfully it won't last too long

I hope so too, want some heat and humidity to return. 

Keep your vehicles away, definitely negativity impact the value. 

Did you order the code red! You're God damn right I did. 

7 hours ago, RedSky said:

Can't forget the Neshaminy Inn dude 

Was that the one with the heart shaped beds? 

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

Biggest severe event in years all I got was a thundershower. Even the wind gusts were pedestrian compared to others this February and March no power outage or trees down locally.

 

What was really surprising was geographically within a few miles how dark it was. Like night and day.

Literally 

52 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Enough to get you outta storage and posting after that event yesterday!

Yeah, pretty much an uneventful winter. Kinda looking forward to severe 

Probably the darkest storm cloud civer I've ever seen. 

22 minutes ago, floridapirate said:

Ive seen one flash freeze in my life despite the many calls for one.  Im banking on the latter.

The most recent one 2011-15 timeframe if I recall correctly had little or no wind. 

6 hours ago, forkyfork said:

the meso models show a line of convection with heavy rain along the front. that is the worst possible scenario for flash freezing

The wind that will come with front will help limit any potential flash freeze. 

I'm hearing cicadas in Bucks County and seeing plenty of cicada killers. It's still early for cicadas, wait til August. 

Since we are talking birds, Warblers are returning to the area. Black and White and Yellow-rumped Warbers are back.

Nothing now in Langhorne

Wet snow in langhorne

Will there be any wind associated with this cold front? Usually there is, and will blow dry the walkways and roadways limiting any icing probabilities.

41 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

I think the geese already punted winter and headed back. A little pond near me had a flock of geese  pecking at the ground this morning.  

Good thing about this rain/fog is the car is receiving a decent rinse off. Thinking about watching the radar and in between heavier bands.....go outside w/a bucket of soapy water and do a quick wash then let the rain wash it off.

I have zero concern about icing and hope the township does as well so they don't lay down anymore salt/brine or whatever...

41F/Fog and the snowpack is patchy

 

The Northern Cardinals are singing too 

6 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

We had one in 2014 I believe. Friends in Chester County were without power for nearly a week.

 

I remember there was one that I thought was 10 years ago but this is it. 

I only remember one ice storm that happened and that was in 1994. the one most of us remember. Back in the seventies there was one that I recall, but only bus ride to high school. I remember the trees that had frozen glaze being highlighted by the sun, quite a remarkable sight. 

Ice storms are so rare, really doubted this ever verifying.

17 minutes ago, MGorse said:

I feel like I am being interviewed. Lol. That statement sums it up well. Many times this is being said incorrectly because the energy is not being transferred. New coastal low develops due to incoming upper level support (results in surface pressure falls) while the inland low weakens then dissipates as the upper level support leaves it behind. 

Thanks, no interview from me. I have brought this up many times when I see someone post "energy transfer" and mention there is no transfer and the term is incorrect.

I just wanted to be sure, thanks.

Question for @MGorse. During a Miller B storm is there really no transfer of energy to the coast for redevelopment.