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Violentweatherfan

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Everything posted by Violentweatherfan

  1. I was watching NJ Weather and start time should e about 1pm area wide for all of bucks county
  2. Joe Cioffi is really good, and so was Bill Goodman. Joe needs to get a better microphone though, for whatever reason the guests audio always sound better
  3. From the Joe and Joe show snow ratios should be greater than 10:1 once on the west side of the storm as it pulls down colder air. Wind direction changes from easterly to northeasterly positively impacting accumulations
  4. Did you catch the part of the show where they shared information about the European model isn’t what it used to be. There were changes made to it and it isn’t the same “Dr. No” ?
  5. Interesting bit of information from the Joe and Joe show this evening is that the European model isn’t the same model we are accustomed to. It’s more of the control version, there where changes made to it and isn’t the same model it was a couple of years ago
  6. In all seriousness, he should have or maybe he did have an analysis why he is going with the euro and why it’s showing less totals and pointing out on the GFS is wrong. I never saw his original post. I don’t really have Twitter.
  7. This is as close to an analog as you can get. Finally I see an event with the MJO in phase 3 and a weak or transitioning La Niña Edit: it was in the circle of death during January I searched for February thanks
  8. These are two really good posts. Especially when forecasting accumulation expectations
  9. This has to be one of the funniest gifs I’ve seen, credit ironty from the md forum
  10. I’m convinced it’s the NWS budget cuts
  11. I’m still looking for any appreciable snowfall, more than 10 inches that has occurred during a weak La Niña with the MJO in phase 4. Oh and very little cold air to work with.
  12. Everyone was on that bandwagon, I remember Paul Kocin on TWC Friday night showing a graphic with SEPA in the bullseye with 2 to 3 feet of snow. Then on Saturday a coworker saying it wasn’t going to snow, and I was like wtf get out of here.
  13. We do get snow when the MJO is in phase 4 or phase 5 but nothing of significance. Our first snow this season, the one that was a “two-part” system kinda over performed. Those totals where what 6” tops. So when models are spitting out 12” inch totals or more, you have to be careful with expectations
  14. Actually you want the MJO to be in phase 8 or phase 1.
  15. The MJO is gonna be in phase 3/4 by this storm period. I’d temper the excitement and brace for a model change
  16. The MJO is going in the wrong direction too. Not sure how late February to mid March is gonna deliver. The only possible is if the MJO forecast is wrong
  17. He also pointed out how off the forecast was for the MJO. It’s definitely going in the wrong direction so here is to hoping if is off about that.
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