ChangeofSeasonsWX

We couldn't get a single storm to break right for us this season. Just another washout weekend. Maybe we can salvage a decent Sunday.

I just find it interesting how despite the warming climate, there hasn't been a North Atlantic March storm since 1908 or a February storm since 1952. I mean both of those storms happened in a colder era so why hasn't it happened since then? Even in January and April they are (relatively) more frequent.

If that STS that some models show off the Carolinas next week were to happen, this would be the year, right? I mean, with the forecasts being as bullish as they are for the upcoming hurricane season. If we can get a Category 2 in March in 1908, then why can't we get a mere STS in March 2024?

Its funny how everyone talks about March 2012 when it comes to warmth. PVD only hit a peak of 81 that month which yeah is warm but what about March 1998 when it hit 85? or March 1945 which hit 90 at PVD?

So far definitely seems more like March 2010 than 2012 with all the rain, but maybe we can hedge more towards a March 2012 feel later in the month? Lets hope

Yes, April 1982 and 2016 both had decent snow and our lowest maxes on record for the month.

Not sure how much of it is CC induced or just part of a normal cycle but historically, its been pretty rare to maintain 100% humidity and foggy conditions for an entire day. This isn't Seattle (yet anyways). At PVD we had five days that did that in 2023, plus another two days this past January, and March 5th had 99.9% rh. Not sure how accurate the data is, but prior to 2023, I could only find four other days since 1976 which had 100% rh, plus another four with 99.8% rh. So thats pretty crazy that in the past year we have had more days with 100% rh than we had in the previous 50 or so years.

Is this going to turn into another March 2010? Wettest month on record for PVD.

1970 redux?

Yeah let's be honest who wouldn't enjoy a good cane? Obviously not something really strong but a Category 1 or 2 would be fun. Category 3 and up gets dangerous.

I wonder sometimes what the biggest single winter storm possible for this area would be, hypothetically. Five feet? Six? Everyone talks about 1888 but is it possible to see more than that from one storm? What is the largest qpf system we have ever had in the winter?

Is there any consensus on how 1717 compares to Feb 2015? I mean obviously there aren't any official records but is there some idea on what that event was like? When I saw that picture of the four story lodge completely covered I immediately thought of 1717, based on accounts.

Looks more like March 2018 to me.

Lets get another April Fools Day 1997 bomb followed by warmth and a nice spring to lift the spirits.

For wind in my particular area too. More intense and long lasting winds than October 2017 or the one last December. I would put in on par with December 1994 in terms of wind, although that one may have been tropical, pending reanalysis.

Yeah it was definitely an unprecedented atmospheric setup for that region. I also just realized from my last post that southwest flow in the summertime wouldn't bring the humid air all the way from the Gulf of Mexico this far north, it would be from the waters south of Long Island which makes much more sense. lol But it certainly is still possible for us to get a similarly anomalous setup in this area, albeit probably not as extreme. I'd be curious to see the synoptic setup for July 1911, which is probably the closest that this area has come to that.

I think its interesting how our climate has a more humid summer baseline than Seattle, considering the cool Pacific flow in the Seattle area, I would've thought that a synergistic heat burst would be equally unlikely there, but apparently not. Even though we tend to get a more southwest versus westerly flow in the summer, which brings humid air from the GOM, you would think that the humidity would still moderate somewhat by the time it reaches this far north. Even with the cool Labrador Current to our east, how often do you see easterly flow in the summertime? Not too often, whereas the west coast sees it constantly. It sucks that climate change is going to make it even more humid in the summer than it already is, because I hate humidity. I would rather be breaking heat records with dry heat than breaking high dewpoint records with weeks of endless swampass.

The irony is that as of lately it seems as though Seattle gets more weather extremes than our area. How about their June 2021 heat wave, with temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above previous all time records? Hot Saturday in 1975 didn't accomplish that feat around here. Maybe July 1911 did in some areas, but I'm not sure. Even with regards to snowfall, outside of the downtown area it seems like they have been running above average relative to their climo for the last few seasons, versus us running below average with ours.

Yep, transitioning to a Seattle climate right before our eyes. The new normal.

Never heard of that one. But I'd say we are still overdue for one. I know most people on here don't want ice but it would be neat visually.

Actually, south of the ORH Mass pike region I can only think of two major ice storms that have ever happened. November 1921 was the really big one, and then 1973 also had one I believe. Can't think of any others.

Major ice storms are even rarer in SE Mass and RI than in CT it seems. CT is good for severe weather and ice storms. Not often does SE Mass get those.

Maybe we finally get our hurricane sometime in the next five years? We are long overdue anyways. Plus I see a lot of really bullish forecasts for the upcoming hurricane season. A lot of 1933 comparisons being tossed around. We all know what happened five years after 1933. Obviously it wouldn't be of that same magnitude but still it makes you wonder.

It really is true. 1953 Worcester tornado, November 1950 storm, multiple hurricanes. I wish that same pattern would repeat in my lifetime but I'm not holding my breath.

I'm still hoping that one day we get another November 1950 screamer. King of all screamers. I cannot even fathom 80 mph sustained from a non-hurricane. Plus the worst of it happened during the evening hours rather than overnight like October 2017, so it was all visible. March 2, 2018 is still king for me personally.