ChangeofSeasonsWX

Well if its going to be warm might as well go all out and break some records. Maybe we can still salvage winter next month.

I want my 30" storm on the 30th that the 06z GFS promised. Better chance of seeing 70s next month.

This is what I mean, although I wish there was an easier way to customize records to exclude the cheap midnight highs. For instance MLK Day 2019 had a midnight high of 10F but daytime high was only 5F, Christmas 1980 had a midnight high of 35F but daytime high was -1F which is insane.

Really? That's surprising to me. I can only speak for PVD though. Both Valentines Day 2016 and 02/04/23 hit -9F at PVD. We also hit -6F on 01/16/04 and -5F on 02/21/15. For comparison, the last time we had a high temp below 10F was 01/16/94. So it just seems a lot more rare to get super cold highs around here.

It seems like it's a lot more difficult to get record low maxes than low mins. Low mins are much easier to set. I mean when was the last really impressive low max? Maybe MLK day 2019? 5F was the daytime high for PVD that day which was the coldest low max since "Cold Sunday" on 01/17/82 in which the day time high was 1F. Barring the cheap midnight highs of course.

Its always sunny in philadelphia

If only it was true

What were the factors that made March 1956 so prolific? Was the setup similar to Feb 2015? Its hard to believe that it produced the same amount of snow in PVD as Feb 2015 did. I can't imagine us being able to get that much of a cold stretch so late in the season and for it to produce as much snow as it did. I'm sure that most of us on here would give our left nut for a repeat of either.

At least I'm old enough to remember Feb 2015. Probably will never see a month like that again in my life.

I just want something interesting for a change. Heavy rain and river flooding is mildly interesting to me but if we can't have snow then big ice or big wind will do it for me. I just need to have something new for a change. Summer is supposed to be the boring months not winter.

November 1921 inbound? Would be neat to see something like that just once.

Oh 100% this for me as well. If CC increases my odds of seeing big dogs like 1978, 1996 and 2005 then sign me up. It's just the waiting period in between that blows. Also, events like Dec 1992 and March 2001 would be crushing for me because we were so close to something historic but it was just too far north. Its much harder nowadays to get a good blocking cold pattern but Feb 2015 showed us that it can still happen, its just very rare.

I remeber back in the 2010s when we were having amazing snow seasons there were people saying how lucky we'd been and sending out warnings that at some point the tables would turn, and boy did they ever. We are definitely paying the price now.

I've always wondered if we will ever break the all time records from 1934 in any of our lifetimes.

Wind, severe, and ice storms are the three weather phenomena that never fail to underperform in this region of the country.

Hey even if both January and February fail, March still has some potential. March has been more potent than December in recent times, especially in El Nino years. It would be nice to get another March 1956 to brighten everyones moods.

Expected snowfall on the BOX map of 1.4" but the high end 1/10 is 7". Quite the range lol

Zr never lasts long here for some reason. Not sure why but it always seems to switch to rain quickly. I guess zr is relatively rare in these parts. I wish we could get a little more zr it looks nice on the trees.

Yeah definitely overperformed here in Seekonk. Gotta be at least 4" but it's changed to zr.

Wow 9" at ACK

I like extreme cold too. Something about how fresh the air feels when you breathe. I've experienced -10F twice in my life, once on 02/14/16 and again on 02/04/23.

Are there any other threats in the long range after the 20th?

I know that there are some people on here who only appreciate snow, but I have a fetish for all record-breaking weather, whether it be snow, wind, rain, heat, cold, I love it all. I even keep track of unusual records that most people don't, like humidity. Last year, we had five days that maintained 100% rh for the whole day, which is a first. Before last year, we hadn't had a single day with 100% rh since 05/13/02 which is also crazy. 02/04/23 had extreme cold and wind chills, even more extreme than Valentines Day 2016. As long as we keep breaking records for different aspects of the weather, that still provides a decent dopamine rush for me.

People tend to jump from one extreme to another, this is true. There are always going to be good and bad stretches that's just how it goes. We have been in a tough stretch recently but the 80s were the same or even worse. We will have a good stretch again at some point. Also, I'm not sure that less snowy winters are necessarily correlated to CC though because the 80s were frigid and yet not a lot of snow. The snow definitely doesnt stick around for as long as it used to back then, but that doesn't mean it's less snowy than it used to be. It basically comes down to getting a pattern where cold air is timed in sync with precipitation.

I don't think that one 6-8 event imby is asking for too much but some seasons it is. 3-6 just doesn't cut it for me, especially since we usually end up on the lower end of that range. Plus with CC now its like even 3-6 is gone in a couple days. Can't even really enjoy it.