TheCloser24

FWIW, FV3-GFS shows major noreaster 12/8-9.

12z FV3 GFS shows how next weeks storm COULD be wintry.

Weird evolution next week on 6z GFS with coastal low and inverted trough...

Most of CT away from the water, now under a Winter Storm Warning.

From Michael Ventrice: Just heard word that ECMWF will soon be providing 6Z and 18Z cycles (in addition to the 0/12Z runs). This will be hourly data from 0 to 90 hours and 3-hourly data from 93 to 144 hours for 00/06/12/18Z runs. Good news to start the day!

Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Fairfield, Litchfield, New Haven, and Hartford counties in CT.

KNYC AFD: BUFKIT profiles show some veering within first 10 kft above surface, S-SW for Long Island, NYC and more SE-SW to the north with stronger magnitude, more bulk shear. Total bulk shear 35-40 kt from 0-6km. MUCAPE of 500-1000 J/kg and during the day this will become more surface based and increase to 1500-2000 J/kg. Certainly some potential for a few thunderstorms to be strong with a marginal risk for severe weather across much of the region for local damaging winds and a brief tornado possible where there is the most veering of low level winds and highest helicity, particularly parts of the Lower Hudson Valley and Southern CT.

NWS Albany confirms 2 EF-1 tornadoes in Winsted and Barkhamsted.

12z JMA 974mb near Nantucket. Wow.

Euro really has been adamant on 2 ft+ in Western CT for the past several runs.

Great discussion by Ryan and Bob Maxon on NBC CT about the storm. Their best guess of the deformation band is somewhere between Hartford to Waterbury or NW CT.

It seems like Waterbury public schools are always closed. They may not have school for the entire week.