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DarkSharkWX

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Everything posted by DarkSharkWX

  1. DarkSharkWX
    nmore amped and more confluence
  2. DarkSharkWX
    gefs is way colder 850 0C line is SE of st marys
  3. DarkSharkWX
    75 mile shift S, even dc stays all snow
  4. DarkSharkWX
    CMC absolutely crushes us, S of last run w more conflunece GFS noticeable shift more confluence did something get sampled?
  5. DarkSharkWX
    iqr, 50th, 75th, 90th
  6. DarkSharkWX
  7. DarkSharkWX
    thats j cause less precip it overall held and is still nice
  8. DarkSharkWX
    850 seems SE of DC whole run
  9. DarkSharkWX
    EPS looks similar to 12z but weaker and SE
  10. DarkSharkWX
    and 5 mb lower 50/50
  11. DarkSharkWX
    im suprised, some of the indies have extremely large hits, im interested to see what their handling of the SW US shortwave is and how everything gets affected by it wish there was a way to do so but it appears not sadly
  12. DarkSharkWX
    EPS holds generally if anyone cares
  13. DarkSharkWX
    that completely changes the setup sadly, we also see the dual jet signature go away on euro
  14. DarkSharkWX
    its just the new vort in the SW/Central US that digs and fucks up everything, not only induces height rises and make the low go north but also flattens out the storm and makes it weak, not as simple as "NW of low snows" anymore sadly good news is this energy is over the aleutians rn, i would give it some time before canceling this but trends are unfavorable rn ill admit
  15. DarkSharkWX
    https://sites.gsl.noaa.gov/desi/?chart=x4d&lat=40&lon=-105&theme=dark&dset=NBM4.1-CONUS&clusHghlgt=true&x4dGrid={"HREF"%3A{"url"%3A[40.5%2C-100%2C388%2C270]}%2C"NBM4.1"%3A{"url"%3A[39.096%2C-76.637%2C"450"%2C"315"]}} site to this if anyone wants it btw, chance of 5" below(WSW criteria)
  16. DarkSharkWX
  17. DarkSharkWX
    much better this run
  18. DarkSharkWX
    CMC crusher NW of 95
  19. DarkSharkWX
    thermals are wrong, it shows low-mid 20s in like SNE and rain
  20. DarkSharkWX
  21. DarkSharkWX
    kuchera more than 10:1??
  22. DarkSharkWX
  23. DarkSharkWX
  24. DarkSharkWX
    one thing i noticed on the gfs was that our vort over OK digs more and shunts it N, id assume its a part of why we saw a N shift
  25. DarkSharkWX
    here is dynamic slr/cobb ratio(takes in account all layers of atmosphere + rates better)
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