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DarkSharkWX

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Everything posted by DarkSharkWX

  1. DarkSharkWX
    CMC further S too
  2. DarkSharkWX
    woah
  3. DarkSharkWX
  4. DarkSharkWX
    yeah all that matters that the jet is extended the right amount which we have here, that js usually comes with +EPO/alaskan trough epo isnt js alaska
  5. DarkSharkWX
    since feb 20(some duplicates) also climo is barely different from feb 18 and 3-5 days later, no reason to think that w a pattern like this we cant get a big snowstorm
  6. DarkSharkWX
    GEFS looked amazing for the end of run, aleutian low redeveloping with rockies ridging with very favorable atlantic would fit in nicely for the 22nd-24th timeframe
  7. DarkSharkWX
    the quick transition from fast MJO waves to slow moving ones due to +IOD collapse is crazy lmao, should work out for us once we make it into 8/1/2
  8. DarkSharkWX
  9. DarkSharkWX
    kuchera is 6-8" on pivotal
  10. DarkSharkWX
    i think there probably will be at least one big cold shot once the block does retrograde, which wont be picked up by guidance at this lead time
  11. DarkSharkWX
    dca is 5.9" from climo iirc, and i'm about 8-10" from climo here
  12. DarkSharkWX
    the snowcover should recover
  13. DarkSharkWX
  14. DarkSharkWX
    fwiw
  15. DarkSharkWX
    what?? did you forget about the 6-12" we got 2 weeks ago we are average to date right now lmao
  16. DarkSharkWX
    its a long shot but we'll need the TPV to be just in the right spot and strong enough to where it can provide cold air but not also interfere with our storm or we get a 12z cmc(yesterday) type solution where the backside of it phases, we'll see what happens since tpv features are modeled horribly with long lead times
  17. DarkSharkWX
  18. DarkSharkWX
    looks pretty nice
  19. DarkSharkWX
    nice recovery
  20. DarkSharkWX
    once the jet retracts we probs see the most favorable pattern of this winter yet
  21. DarkSharkWX
    12/11: 2.1" 1/14: 0.2" 1/15-1/16: 5.8" 1/19: 6.4" Total so far: 14.5"
  22. DarkSharkWX
    ik someone in germantown who has 7-8" bc of the constant banding the entire event over there, seems like 270 was the cutoff for that last band that just moved through
  23. DarkSharkWX
    likely final total here in gaithersburg is around 6.4"
  24. DarkSharkWX
    woah
  25. DarkSharkWX
    ik - i was just talking about the pattern potentially becoming more favorable for -NAO wavebreaking (along w the +SCAND lol) w the jet extension, and mainly the pattern after the transient favorable period before mid feb
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