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DarkSharkWX

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Everything posted by DarkSharkWX

  1. DarkSharkWX
  2. DarkSharkWX
    even waldorf switches over this run
  3. DarkSharkWX
    23z hrrr data had 2 dropsondes into it, 0z runs will have the full source of data
  4. DarkSharkWX
    this storm is gonna be dependent on rates, if we get them accumulation concerns are minimal even with marginal sfc temps
  5. DarkSharkWX
    this as advertised would be insane on the hrrr, no problem sticking with those rates and dynamic cooling
  6. DarkSharkWX
    soudning in N moco, this would do it
  7. DarkSharkWX
  8. DarkSharkWX
  9. DarkSharkWX
    there we go
  10. DarkSharkWX
    this is very interesting, especially 1964 but to be fair though the block is defintely weaker than previously modeled, and the pac has gotten worse too i wish there was a way to properly compare the 500h archive maps on psl to what models have right now; do you still think the pattern is good and can produce considering the downtrends we've been seeing?
  11. DarkSharkWX
    like the trend for more western ridging
  12. DarkSharkWX
    barely have made it to phase 8
  13. DarkSharkWX
  14. DarkSharkWX
    https://twitter.com/scweather_wx/status/1756672093997986055
  15. DarkSharkWX
    tbf since the block is weaker than previously thought we're probably going to want to root for a slightly better pac
  16. DarkSharkWX
    worth noting that the pattern downgraded because of the NPAC jet extending a bit too far, not to mention the 14th storm not being a cutter and kickstarting the -NAO earlier still looks good but is def worse than compared to how it was looking earlier
  17. DarkSharkWX
    great changes, tpv looks a lot better this run too
  18. DarkSharkWX
    for anyone who cares GEFS def improved w the blocking this run
  19. DarkSharkWX
    overall good changes, better chance of phasing and brings the vortex more E
  20. DarkSharkWX
    i remember the sne storm in 2022 was modeled rain for them wasnt 2016 modeled as rain far out?
  21. DarkSharkWX
    look at hovmollers
  22. DarkSharkWX
  23. DarkSharkWX
  24. DarkSharkWX
    goa low on EPS for the 24th signal, jet is extended right amount and in good spot(this usually js comes with +EPO), pacific troughing/goa low is correlated to snow for us bc it implies enhanced STJ as others have said it looks good for 24th
  25. DarkSharkWX
    i mean it did its js a weak ass strung out wave
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