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DarkSharkWX

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Everything posted by DarkSharkWX

  1. once the jet retracts we probs see the most favorable pattern of this winter yet
  2. 12/11: 2.1" 1/14: 0.2" 1/15-1/16: 5.8" 1/19: 6.4" Total so far: 14.5"
  3. ik someone in germantown who has 7-8" bc of the constant banding the entire event over there, seems like 270 was the cutoff for that last band that just moved through
  4. likely final total here in gaithersburg is around 6.4"
  5. ik - i was just talking about the pattern potentially becoming more favorable for -NAO wavebreaking (along w the +SCAND lol) w the jet extension, and mainly the pattern after the transient favorable period before mid feb
  6. looks like another jet extension will bring a big warmup for the country, but when it retracts it should bring back blocking(we've seen this before), probably around feb 10th the -PNA from the jet extension along with a +SCAND will setup a pattern for -NAO wavebreaking, hopefully we can cash in on that period when it retracts
  7. 12/11: 2.1" 1/14: 0.2" 1/15-1/16: 5.8" Total so far: 8.1"
  8. has there been any examples of a 12"+ storm besides 2003 with a netural to positive NAO and w just a 50/50?
  9. ratios are way higher this event i dont see a need to use positive snow depth change lol, it mixes for like 2 seconds before coming back
  10. euro probs would have been better if it went out further btw, better angular momentum and pna
  11. basically guaranteed inch on GEFS, probs around 4-5" mean w/ 0.3" qpf and adjusting w 15:1 ratios
  12. way better this run w the tpv and main wave seperation(12z vs 18z vs 0z)
  13. tomer said that the euro weeklies keep cankicking the feb pattern though?? personally i dont see it but idk
  14. that looks good, but are you concerned about the +NAO for the end of jan a bit? +PNA won't allow for -NAO wavebreaking, atl the way its advertised now atl we finally have cold air lmfao
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