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DarkSharkWX

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Everything posted by DarkSharkWX

  1. where do you get these maps? when i try looking them up i only get the cpc subsurface anomaly maps
  2. new c3s, warm dec, transitional jan, and great feb
  3. how exactly would the +IOD enforce forcing over mjo 8/1/2 instead of 6/7 over the io/mc? j curious
  4. thats not that big of a deal lmao if that pattern came to fruition we'd still likely get something
  5. yeah, pretty sure some of them we're predicting a weak-moderate nino last year for this winter and we all know how that turned out
  6. I don't think we'll get a super nino, especially coming off of a 3 year nina and a -PDO, theres also usually some time in between super events, 1982 -> 1997 -> 2015 (technically 1972/73 was a strong, not super nino cause its ONI was only barely at super criteria for 2 months, not 3)
  7. 2018-19 wasn't that bad, AN for IAD/DCA and near normal for BWI
  8. if we do get a east based nino in the winter, it's not gonna be because its east-based now
  9. we'd need a 26.2" average over the next 7 years to keep IAD at its average of 21", mean from 2000-2015 is 22.4"(median 14.4") compared to mean of 11.0"(median 11.9") from 2017-2023
  10. why are east-based ninos bad? like what exactly does it do
  11. the time frame around march 18th looks to be SS
  12. i don't have them, weathermodels only has 18z member mslp and lows
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