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Stormchaserchuck1

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Everything posted by Stormchaserchuck1

  1. Stormchaserchuck1
    Shifted north a good bit https://ibb.co/F0pp2Kz
  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    NW of NYC and SNE
  3. Stormchaserchuck1
    Pretty big shift north in the NE actually.. similar to what the RAP did https://ibb.co/gM3BdR4
  4. Stormchaserchuck1
    Whole trough is more negative this run.. only slight differences with storm so far https://ibb.co/6Y3nDGG
  5. Stormchaserchuck1
    0z Hrrr.. slight shift NW at hr20 https://ibb.co/QdBYr0w
  6. Stormchaserchuck1
    I don't like big High pressures over the N. Pacific Ocean.. they correlate to snow here close to "0"
  7. Stormchaserchuck1
    Gives part of WV 12-14".. we'll see
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    21z RAP fwiw really got more organized with the coastal.. gives NW of NYC 4-6"
  9. Stormchaserchuck1
    https://ibb.co/VCTCWHk
  10. Stormchaserchuck1
    Small changes in 21z RAP https://ibb.co/0DtM2r6
  11. Stormchaserchuck1
    18z GFS vs 12z https://ibb.co/mvmTR4x
  12. Stormchaserchuck1
    I don't know.. I personally like the setup, because there is more upside when a storm is wet over the TN valley then jumps to the coast. Here was the 18z Hrrr Here's the 18z NAM
  13. Stormchaserchuck1
    Some models have it mixing on or SE of I-95. I think the snow depth is most accurate because it takes into account lower ratios.
  14. Stormchaserchuck1
    15z SREF.. seems like they are honing in on 3" max, except the RAP which had 4-5"
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    18z NAM really strengthened the potential a little bit.. same precip, but it's closer to a phase, and about 3-4mb lower with the coastal. I think they could go WSWatches. Key thing is 18z HRR had a more negative tilt early, and upped totals in the SE. Negative is it's going with a faster thump.
  16. Stormchaserchuck1
    Pushes the cold front through faster https://ibb.co/W3nGM2m A little closer to a phase I guess..
  17. Stormchaserchuck1
    Yeah, LWX is going aggressive. I guess they like longer duration storms.
  18. Stormchaserchuck1
    18z NAM better at 30hr https://ibb.co/2c6MD09
  19. Stormchaserchuck1
    Really upped the totals for TN!
  20. Stormchaserchuck1
    Better orientation 18z Hrrr https://ibb.co/3Yc1GKD
  21. Stormchaserchuck1
    I like this one because it's going to stick around. 19th will probably melt shortly after.
  22. Stormchaserchuck1
    A little more ridging out in front 10hr 18z Hrrr vs 12z Hrrr https://ibb.co/YTq8vcq
  23. Stormchaserchuck1
    EPO and WPO patterns don't last that long.. On average their oscillations last 7-12 days. The NAO or PNA will go for 15-35 days, but it's hard to get a sustained EPO.. it fluctuates back and forth a lot, giving you not as constant winter-means.
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    Most people don't know that -EPO and +NAO is a snowy pattern.. you don't think 13-14 and 14-15 will ever happen again, but I disagree. I think they are lightly correlating.
  25. Stormchaserchuck1
    sell I want 4"
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