Wow
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Everything posted by Wow
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I agree with Mr. Widre Mann.
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12z GEFS trend. Much less spread with the sfc low placement. More agreement with a Miller A type of track.
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All I know at this point is a lot of something is going to fall from the sky. It has been wet. Wettest fall on record. It has been raining all weekend here. If the clipper delivers a stout HP overhead like the models are trending toward, we'll be good to go.
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Looks about right given the track as far as the r/s line is concerned.
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It's a coastal hugger on this run so it's a jackpot track for western areas
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Welcome to El Nino. Best chance for wintry wx for eastern areas will be at the beginning
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It's a winter storm. Classic southern storm for WNC with CAD high and a dying primary/inverted trough over the TN valley.
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Instead of 60s and 70s at the gulf coast, it's in the 50s.. the WAA from the southern s/w is more suppressed
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Big 1037 HP at 150hr sprawling over the low, centered over WI !. Yesterday's runs were over NE or just offshore Cold air is ready and waiting. HP isn't going to slide out on this run. Snow breaking out over NE GA and NW SC. Low over New Orleans.
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12z GFS so far more separation between the jets at 126. Don't want much interaction between the two while it works east. Also a good trend of slowing down the northern wave to keep our front-end HP in place
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I sent out a bulk email yesterday.. had server migration issues
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Either way, it's getting really wet. Duke has dropped the lake levels by several feet in anticipation of the storm.
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3k NAM looks like it actually increased over NW NC? vs.
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I've had a few quick sprinkles today.. But still 0.00 in the rain gauge.
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That was the last fishing pier in Atlantic Beach. Sportman's pier was closed back in '06
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Good news is the models seem to keep her moving west rather than a stall and turn SW.. good news at least for the coast. More headache for inland though.
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A foot+ of rain over most of NC per GFS
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Well that looks interesting
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FV3 GFS is Wilmington to Myrtle Beach to Greenville SC
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Good thing here is it'll be accelerating as it comes further inland since it stalled earlier.
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Florence decided really late to pull a Hugo track.
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Well this one is going to hard to pin down.
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The GFS gets a clue.. poor thing
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Don't fear the reaper
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Obviously it depends. This is a very difficult storm to model with it potentially stalling out. Depending where it drifts will determine a lot where the biggest rainfalls occur, obviously. Wind-wise, a northern SC hit would likely be the worst case.
