arlwx12

I would have busted if I'd had had the opportunity to post in time. IAD 10/31 BWI 10/31 RIC 11/7 BUT DCA 11/15 And the leaves go tumbling down...

It tumbled. NWS reports DCA hit 32 at 1800.

NWS reported DCA only reached 33. Looks like a freeze lock for tomorrow, though.

For you snowlovers: Please explain why you are forecasting more than two inches above climo.

I'm a warminista. Last year was a pleasant surprise ((for me)). I'm just wondering if the over-the hill- er over-40s- are as enthusiastic about sxxx as the younger ones are. I just forecast my perceptions of climo, trimmed a bit (have to be optimistic...)

You have a slim chance, but... NWS is currently claiming there are freeze chances for the mornings of 25, 26 and 28 Nov.

As a warminista, I loved last winter. But I suspect payback. SO: BWI: 17 DCA: 14 IAD: 20 RIC: 10 SBY: 10 (may it be much less again)

Not that odd. The Richmond airport is about 5 miles away from downtown. And it isn't on a major river. DCA is on a major river, and near the center of a big urban heat island. Just about all the local DC/MD/VA areas that stayed above freezing were "next" to the water.

NWS reported BWI hit 32 at 0720.

Heat advisory up for DC and points west.

Skywarn has been activated anyway.

The watch extends up past Philly to the western NJ suburbs of NYC. A couple of TOR warnings got issued for PA.

WSW up for the far mountains. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 801 AM EDT Mon May 1 2023 WVZ505-012015- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0004.230502T0000Z-230502T1600Z/ Western Pendleton- 801 AM EDT Mon May 1 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations around 4 to 8 inches above 3,000 feet with a coating to a slushy inch or two below 3,000 feet. Westerly winds will gust frequently around 35 to 45 mph. * WHERE...Western Pendleton County. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to noon EDT Tuesday. (snip) URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Charleston WV 244 AM EDT Mon May 1 2023 WVZ523-526-011445- /O.NEW.KRLX.WS.W.0001.230502T0000Z-230502T1400Z/ Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Randolph- Including the cities of Snowshoe and Harman 244 AM EDT Mon May 1 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Northwest Pocahontas and Southeast Randolph Counties. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. (snip)

DCA picked up 1.66" so far for the event.

The Haymarket storm just got warned.

Severe thunderstorm watch issued for most of the DC/Balt area.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 130 PM EDT Sat Apr 15 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Baltimore County in northern Maryland... * Until 215 PM EDT. * At 130 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Reisterstown, or 9 miles northwest of Pikesville, moving east at 10 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

As a warminista, I am DELIGHTED that I thoroughly busted. Bring on its twin for next year!!

High wind warnings up too for northeast of Baltimore and to the west/far west of the metros.

RGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 229 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023 District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Rappahannock- Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier- Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Including the cities of Washington, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Warrenton, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Haymarket, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, and Montclair 229 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph Saturday afternoon, becoming northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph Saturday evening. * WHERE...Portions of central and northern Maryland, The District of Columbia, and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From noon Saturday to midnight EDT Saturday night. The strongest winds are expected Saturday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

IAD, BWI and RIC all froze overnight. If I had gotten into this, I would have called it too early for all 3: BWI and IAD 10/31 RIC 11/8 and probably early for DCA 11/15.

National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 243 PM EST Sat Nov 12 2022 DCZ001-MDZ006-008-011-013-014-016>018-506>508-VAZ054-057-130345- /O.NEW.KLWX.FZ.A.0009.221114T0500Z-221114T1400Z/ District of Columbia-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore- Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-King George- Including the cities of Washington, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, and Dahlgren 243 PM EST Sat Nov 12 2022 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures around 28 to 32 degrees possible. The coldest temperatures are most likely west of Interstate 95. (snip)

BWI: 17.0 DCA: 14.0 IAD: 20.0 RIC: 7.0 Tiebreaker: SBY 8.0

When my computer got cleaned up, it lost my link, so I had to make a new account.