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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. That had the slightest of ticks west from 15z. No eastward movement in another model. Sorry GFS.
  2. When you say everything, you must not mean the 18z NAM or the 18z HRRR, which didn't. Whether or not they are in their zones.
  3. I still think many here are on the verge of bridge jumping, . They can say they are just kidding, but we know better.
  4. Let's get real about one run of the GFS. Yesterday's 18z run had 2.16" qpf here for this storm only, then at 0z it had only 1.29", before going back up to 1.91" at 06z. Now it's back down to 1.55" at 18z. I'll bet it's back up significantly again at 0z.
  5. Flies in the face of NAM and the Mesos which have been moving nnw.
  6. LOL, just saw a storm update on FoxNews and their map depicted an area of 24-36" just south of Boston toward the Cape.
  7. Very similar with that strong high up in central Canada.
  8. The 3k NAM stalls for 3-4 hours south of the islands, similar to the HRRR stalling south of RI.
  9. It spits out the same qpf at hr 48 as the GFS and ICON did at 12z.
  10. I wonder if that depiction is showing a potential stall or loop as it is the furthest west of all the models.
  11. At 3 days out, I don't like being in the bullseye. But I'll take it.
  12. If I'm reading that right, it looks like 4-5"/hr rates for a couple of hours, as well as a couple of hours of 3"/hr.
  13. With the ICON, Ukie and Euro all on board now, can there be any doubt? They all were kicking and screaming to get here. Still not game time, but looks like the GFS schooled them all this time.
  14. All those weak outliers to the east are not happening, so the mean is actually even closer to the Cape.
  15. Except that the GFS and CMC have been steadfast pretty much throughout, and now the Euro is finally catching on. The trend away from an ots E movement has been apparent now for many runs on other than the Euro.
  16. I'm waiting for that Euro run that shows us getting destroyed. Hopefully not a wait in vain. Then we'll know it's game on. We'll see the GFS getting back to those snow maps we saw on 3 consecutive runs on Monday. I can dream, can't I?
  17. I wouldn't be surprised to see a stalled monster off the Jersey coast by tomorrow's runs.
  18. The longer this system is delayed, the better our chances.
  19. The ICON 500mb now looks like the Euro at 12z. Quite the change from 12z.
  20. The Euro is not giving up their outlier role without kicking and screaming. At this time yesterday there was no storm at all. At 0z, it put up a weak nothingburger off the NC coast heading E ots. Now it puts a stronger system a bit further north offshore but still heading E ots. Maybe by 0z it will finally find its way.
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