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Everything posted by vortmax

  1. My P&C forecast (aligns with mesos, but not their snow map)...which to believe?? Yet the WSW only goes until 1PM. This Afternoon Snow before 5pm, then snow showers likely after 5pm. High near 21. North wind 11 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Tonight Snow showers likely before 8pm, then snow between 8pm and 4am, then snow showers likely after 4am. Low around 12. North wind 5 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
  2. The 12z GFS has a similar situation to now just before that final wave runs along the slow moving frontal boundary. Could be a repeat with an added bang at the end. 10 days out is fantasy land though.
  3. Check out the cool sat view of Superior. The loop is even better. Multiple mesos... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-LakeSuperior-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  4. It's still going. Meso have 3-8" more in the next 24hr. Still moisture to come in from the SW:
  5. Really hard to tell. It was really windy all night with lots of drifting with this rice-pack. I'd venture to say it's got to be 12ish for sure. Looks like more, but the drifting is deceiving.
  6. The mesos (HRRR, FV3, and 3k NAM) seem to think we've got another 3-8" to go along the South Shore over the next 24hrs. I used Kuchera as the ratios are certainly above 10:1.
  7. Seems there's still some precip to come through due to a weak 3rd wave. A bit scattered, but may keep frequent snow showers going and a moist atmosphere for some LE... I hope.
  8. It's definitely more windy than I expected. Rice snow is drifting alot.
  9. That is confusing. Wonder what the process is and which is more accurate.
  10. Don't seem to be, but those snow maps seem to change a lot.
  11. Here's the loop, can see it clearly. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=BUF-N0Q-0-12-100-usa-rad
  12. You can see LE 'streamers' coming off LO here. Probably some 1"+ rates under these.
  13. Temp were around 32 here from 3:30 to 9am, then just suddenly dropped to 29 in the last hour.
  14. Yes, they are buying into the mesos! Be safe. Have fun. Be thankful it turned out this way. God speed!
  15. Just dipped below 36 here. Winds shifting more easterly now. According to the Tempest stations in the area, wind shift reached Irondequoit Bay.
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