SnoSki14

24 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Unfortunately, the ridge ahead of the system will probably allow it to gain to much latitude for our area. 

Yes agreed but I'm rooting on a big time event up north, not sure those guys want that to start April though. 

Would probably cause some serious damage 

7 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

If the trend continues I would think extreme NNJ and SNY could possibly get a late season snowstorm 

Not impossible given extreme block and bowling ball system.

The crazy thing is temps, according to Euro would support snow even this far south if the bowling ball system trended south. 

Very chilly start to April here. Prob only low to mid 40s for highs 3-4 days.

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

This isn't crazy. We're seeing one of the strongest blocks for this time of year. This is a classic bowling ball. 

Rooting for a massive snowstorm for SNE

I think models will shift back west tomorrow. 

Already seeing signs of that tonight with Icon & Nam 

31 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

iirc the euro was a miss east with the last event until it got to about day 4

I would be very surprised if this doesn't trend west. 

There's some high rainfall potential if things line up for later this week. 

Possibly another 2"+ storm but could be more if NW trends occur

Case in point models are dumping 5-7" amounts towards Carolinas and Virginia. 

1 hour ago, snowman19 said:

Give it up. Winter’s over 

I'd laugh if it does magically turn into a snow event...just to spite you. 

And it certainly can snow in late March & April but we're missing a key ingredient.  A strong, cold high to our north. That's a must for snows this late for us. 

57 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I don't get why people are giving you weenies . There is cold air around on all the models. It's a possibility if we get a phase.

 

Don't do it to yourself.

But I like the idea of a powerful system 

Despite record warmth this month we're still getting late freezes.

29F this morning

If we had another week of the 65-75+ warmth and then got hit with these freezes we would have seen a lot of bloom damage. 

2 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

yeah rest of March sucks, just like 2012. Looks better for Napril

Models going ham with a strong west based -NAO

Snow for C/NNE probably ain't done and spring is on hold for a while. 

Maybe by mid April things warm up. 

8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The radar presentation reminds me of when a tropical system makes landfall to our south and runs up just inland from the coast.

 

A harbinger of what's to come this summer & early fall?

59 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Fast mover.   Too bad it wasn't a month ago-track is perfect

Not for us. Low is too far inland 

Surface temps are below forecast, not surprised there's icing issues further north. 

Will only stay in the 40s here.

Raindancewx whose been on a roll actually sounds more optimistic for 24/25

2 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Extremely impressive radar. It’s going to be absolutely torrential soon. Would not surprise me if there’s 4+ inch rain totals in the metro area

I think that's likely 

Nam is all over the place but HRRR continues to hammer our region with 3-4"+ totals. 

Icon went ballistic 

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

HRRR is a drencher so far. 0z has 4" on the NJ shore and NYC, 3" just about everywhere else.

The potential for 4" amounts is there. Other models are further NW. 

If those amounts verify then there would definitely be some flooding 

28F

Curious to see how low we drop tonight under calm winds. 

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

30 here

Looks like March 1st was not the last freeze for the city. 

Goes to show even in increasingly warmer climates we can still get later freezes. 

That doesn't bode well if the growing season gets earlier and earlier though. 

What a crappy Saturday. 2-3" and raining all day. Yuck 

Limited flooding concerns unless the widespread 3"+ amounts verify

8 hours ago, Terpeast said:

Early peak and decay may give us a modoki nina, worst case scenario for the east if you like cold and snow. 

Typical ENSO states don't apply 

People need to take that into consideration. Our old climate analogs no longer work. 

2 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Point and click here is 27 degrees tonight and 24 tomorrow night. Tomorrow night might be pretty bad if winds go calm, and often our low goes below the point/click. 

Tomorrow in the burbs will be very cold. Could easily go below forecast. 

Low 20s will do damage but it's still pretty early in the growing season even with all this warmth lately. 

2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

 

It's gonna kill off some early blooms 

Forecast is 23F Friday morning 

37 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Yea…..oook lol

JB doesn't count 

Yeah there's huge rainmaker potential here. The amounts offshore are pretty ridiculous. 

A perfectly timed cutoff would bring 6"+ amounts to us. 

Luckily its been dry lately so we should be fine unless we see 3"+ amounts.