SnoSki14

I hope so, models have had a tendency to weaken systems as we get closer. Would love a powerful amped up storm.

There's a whole country out there, why only focus on the same dozen spots. And nowadays work can be done anywhere.

After this weekend we can finally toss this crappy winter in the garbage. Not a disaster thanks to -EPO but solid C- Warm weather (60s & 70s) from mid March onward. Hopefully it stays like that through May. The 80+ weather could wait till late May though.

Enjoy the cold rain

That's a beast of a storm if it comes in slower/amped. Snowfall in the deep south

Euro hasn't had a good track record this year. I bet amped tracks win out. No blocking either.

One last hurrah on Saturday. Very cold Saturday night with temps in the teens and near 0 wind chills. Impressive for mid March. Funny how areas in the south will end up with more snow than us this month.

That has flash freeze potential

I think if the timing were better we would've seen a widespread 2-4" with 3-6" local spots. Right now it's dependent on elevation & banding. Nam is the best case scenario.

It's 2-4" that will melt the next day

You're not going to be seeing a hot, dry summer anytime soon, if ever with those boiling SSTs offshore. It could be dry for short periods but high dews/storminess will prevail.

Get ready for 80s after the 15th. Hints at 2012 style ridging for the east.

Same thing all winter, lack of blocking. Nonstop +AO. -EPO was able to prevent a disaster of a winter but wasn't strong enough to give us a 13-15 winter either. Too much -PNA as well

That was a nice perk.

The timing stinks with this given marginal air mass. Obvious stat padder, wouldn't be surprised if it's just white rain.

Another sucky winter in the books.

Very potent cutter

There's 6-7 months of this stuff coming up unless you're only talking about the 60-70F range.

70s moving into those areas. Crazy

2008 was still far worse of course when you factor inflation. 4.50 is definitely a trigger point though with over 5 being major start of reductions.

People also get drawn to those people when everything around them is crumbling. The strong-man leaders exploit those weaknesses and often succeed. Even now our own wannabe dictator still has a massive following (cult-like) and would probably get re-elected if he ran again.

Additionally Atlantic SSTs are very positive. Another tropical threat or two seems very likely this season with strong SE ridge Severe weather season will be active too

Looks like a real cold March coming up.

Who cares if the EPO is favorable if there's no Atlantic blocking. It just means the cold gets dumped west as the SE ridge amplifies. Also cold month? I see a couple 70+ days ahead and then seasonal to AN afterwards with a couple colder days mixed in. The Atlantic blocking & +PNA shown was just a headfake and transitory. Also I'm not sure what Doorman is smoking. How will that lead to a coastal track exactly? There's no blocking to force the low to the coast. There's a better chance on the 9th. CMC has a little snow with it

The lack of Greenland blocking has been very disappointing. Positive AO/NAO most of winter