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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    If I had a dollar every time I heard that this summer I'd be rich. We are getting closer to some of the bad drought years but I assume the heavy rains of the past decade will keep us afloat for a while. Reservoir levels still look ok.
  2. SnoSki14
    Ensembles clearly sensing a burst of activity soon and right on cue too. Lid always comes off after the 20th.
  3. SnoSki14
    Very likely we might not see rain for another week or so and more upgrades in drought severity seem likely
  4. SnoSki14
    Very noticeable differences too in the red zone where I live and places down the shore Everything is brown here while there's plenty of green in those areas.
  5. SnoSki14
    So how much longer before the stein meme is no longer funny but a real concern. When fire season hits?
  6. SnoSki14
    The drought pretty much guarantees we'll see many late season 90s. The 95+ stuff might be done but the near 90 heat will stick around for a while. I also see a rapid summer to cold season transition. Very active fire season too if we get into mid September with little rain.
  7. SnoSki14
    It looks like our drought will worsen with very little rain coming and temperatures warming later this week back to near 90.
  8. SnoSki14
    Tropical, no but at the very least it's a hybrid/sub-tropical. Its origins are over the very warm gulf stream.
  9. SnoSki14
    Looks subtropical actually. Need to see other models though.
  10. SnoSki14
    That looks very Nino-ish as does the quiet tropics
  11. SnoSki14
    Looking at OP/Ensembles there are strong indications the season picks up after the 20th. Nice broad Atlantic ridge looks to set up with waves underneath. Shear also dropping in MDR region
  12. SnoSki14
    Not good for continued drought if the GFS is wrong but we do get these excessive dry periods every now & then.
  13. SnoSki14
    I have a feeling this will tuck closer to the coast. If this were winter I'd be worried
  14. SnoSki14
    Half the country is usually still in the 80s going into October However if the GFS is right it would feel more like October Mon-Wed
  15. SnoSki14
    At some point fire issues may be a thing with the continued dry conditions especially if things don't change heading into September/October.
  16. SnoSki14
    Back to just regular heat
  17. SnoSki14
    I mean though a quiet season would be extremely boring, it would be good for everyone dealing with high energy prices & inflation this year. However I'm still waiting for August 20-22th. That's the period when the switch normally happens and you'd be surprised how quickly the tides can turn.
  18. SnoSki14
    The heat wave ended yesterday if we're being honest. 95+ should be the criteria. 90F is basically normal in today's climate.
  19. SnoSki14
    Favorable tropics pattern after the 20th with the trough going west and WAR building west
  20. SnoSki14
    Weatherwise Feb/March & Aug/Sept are my favorite periods. September is just great all around, best beach month imo.
  21. SnoSki14
    No it's still very much summer. 86F now and probably making a run at 90 today.
  22. SnoSki14
    76/65 right now. Not exactly a cool start but some improvement The much more noticeable cool down with low humidity will be on Friday
  23. SnoSki14
    We must be in the top 3-5 now for the June 1 to August 9th period
  24. SnoSki14
    Everything will depend on blocking as always. Can't be forecast very well in advance Also above normal winter temps are a given most years but that doesn't mean it can't snow.
  25. SnoSki14
    Lmao what. JB is one of the worst forecasters ever. He says the same thing every year so sure eventually something will stick. He also called for global cooling in the 2010s, talk about a miss. He's a major climate change denier or skeptic as well.
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