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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Surprised how meh everything is. Very pulse like variety to these storms, must be the weak lapse rates
  2. Yeah it's pretty unstable out there. CAPE exceeding 3K too. Lots of sun
  3. The east based Nino is completely overpowering any other signal this year. It will be a lot closer to 97 than 83 or 2016
  4. Looks like heat dome stays SW of here hence the over the top storms expected. Thank God because upper 90s would've been brutal to start September
  5. The 1.5 and 2C caps are so laughable now as we're blowing right through them. This is well ahead of schedule too and the catastrophic Nepal floods are just the beginning of what these rapid climate changes will bring.
  6. Though compared to the preceding years it felt a lot colder than the numbers would suggest. Because when winters are +5 or better with some months at +9 or +10 then even normal feels frigid.
  7. Nonsense, I think he should rename everything with America or Trump, it's what the founding fathers would've wanted.
  8. Well clearly the climate cult spread themselves 1000s of miles across Canada and were all activated simultaneously by the Fire starter signal.
  9. Do they like smoke filled skies everyday in the summer too because that's the future. 2023 and this summer are not one-offs. And people will tolerate heat to a point. Once it becomes excessive then it's no longer summer weather, it's a death trap.
  10. Looks like most of it is staying south
  11. It's going to be really really bad once the true effects of this super Nino are felt globally. If you thought this summer was hot and smokey just wait til next year.
  12. Joe Bastardi still on the underwater volcano train?
  13. HRRR is quite active for this region today with multiple rounds of storms
  14. It's not that simple. Yes mild and wet is the status quo but other factors play a major role too. I think hurricane season will mostly be a shutout but watch out for homebrew threats in September/October. SSTs are above normal and there's lower shear north of the MDR
  15. The warm start to each month has been interesting to say the least. Its been hot spell followed by a lot of rain/storms to cooler finish.
  16. It doesn't take much to dump a lot nowadays
  17. Latest HRRR dry slots most of that area
  18. Models consistently nail us later today. Watch for spin ups with warm front nearby
  19. Yes it definitely will
  20. It certainly wouldn't surprise me if the atmosphere and planet tried to establish an equilibrium after the Super Nino. With some data showing earth briefly getting to 2C in 2027 (which is crazy) a pullback is possible, if not likely.
  21. Warmth isn't evenly distributed. Several LR models have the US as the coldest anomaly on earth while the rest of the planet torches. It all depends on where the ridges set up. Despite that you can never go wrong with saying it'll be an AN winter temperature wise in today's AGW era.
  22. It already has. NYC used to have their climate only a few decades ago. Now they have what we did.
  23. Not behaving like any of the other strong Ninos so anyone thinking this winter will be a repeat of those strong Nino years needs to think twice
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