SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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I don't know about warmth though. Maybe near normal. I think the -WPO type pattern that's been in place since November will want to keep us cold. Not cold enough to get snow mind you, but just cold enough to annoy everyone hoping for spring weather
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I think the GFS needs to be retired. Inexcusable to be this out of step only 3 days out
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I agree with you. There's just too much interfering with a positive outcome. Maybe a grazer for coastal regions at best.
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Looks like a holdover from the November pattern that kept us colder all winter.
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I think you gotta go with the whiff runs. What's more likely, a huge blizzard or a whiff especially given the seasonal trends. My guess is the next few runs the gfs shifts east. AI models were also east this morning so there's no support of a 6z GFS solution. My forecast would be snow showers at best and a miss. Little to no snowfall
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Yeah odds are against it given the seasonal trends but it's fun having something to track. And at least spring is around the corner.
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We need to see the whiff models trend towards the GFS/CMC, GFS AI was a start. It's ok if the GFS/CMC aren't a bullseye yet but ensembles and other models need to trend towards them.
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Best one yet but we need consistency and big moves tonight and tomorrow otherwise it's either a grazer or a whiff.
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Rgem would've been really good by the looks of it. Having the CMC on board is interesting. Maybe Friday's shortwave is messing with models.
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Wave spacing is poor as Bluewave said. A SE ridge would be nice right about now
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This last third of winter has been dog crap, thank God for Dec-Jan
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Lol okay
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It's probably why the Euro AI looks like a wizard in comparison when it likely would have been on par or even below the GFS/CMC/Euro
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Agreed about the budget cuts. People have no idea how detrimental they've been to the public along with everything else horrible the administration has done to government agencies.
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Well it's more than just faster flow. It's more about competing influences that don't mesh together and a lot of that is due to multiple areas of forcing in the Pacific. We've also had a dearth of southern stream systems.
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It's the fast flow again. This time the spacing sucked. Coastal tracks are becoming rarer due to CC.
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Sure Jan
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Noticeable improvement which is good.
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It's ok if the op models aren't giving us a bullseye yet. However we need to see continued improvement on the ensembles.
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Or the Euro. Although its performance this season has been tepid at best.
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GFS has been hot garbage for a while including the GEFS too
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Remarkable consensus 5+ days out. The kind you really wish happened 24+ hours out instead because so much can go wrong. Ensembles will be key right now however getting the CMC on board is huge along with AI models which have been doing great.
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The 6z Euro showed a big improvement and that model has stunk lately too.
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I think if the previous system was strong then I agree but a weak shortwave 2 days ahead of the next is plenty of spacing imo.
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More narrow and local but for some yes
