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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. It's been back and forth a lot with this. But of course a further east track is definitely possible
  2. Looked like garbage but it is DT so yeah
  3. I don't buy the lighter precip with an intensifying storm. That seems to be a big difference between the snowier models vs the less snowy ones
  4. Someone's getting 3-4"+ rates and thundersnow. The frontogenesis is ridiculous
  5. I'm looking at 18hrs out and I can assure it won't lol
  6. The NWS & Mt. Holly have a lot of updating to do tomorrow.
  7. I remember Tombo. Those play by plays of Boxing Day were awesome
  8. Feel quite good being in central NJ. The trend from the Nam has been northward ticks. This could put the jackpot zone closer to this area and likely closer to NYC as well.
  9. Parts of Southern NJ pushing 3 feet. That's nuts
  10. If it's correct then people are not ready for what's coming
  11. That wouldn't surprise me. Often it starts faster than expected and ends earlier than forecast.
  12. As long as it's a strong, dynamic system then I prefer a very tucked in track maybe 50-75 miles SE of ACY
  13. I still can't believe the GFS OP pulled this off.
  14. Let's keep our expectations in check though. Remember NAM struggles mightily beyond 36-48hrs, we're just entering its more accurate range.
  15. Correct. Whatever hundredths of QPF we lose to a mix won't matter once the storm gets going.
  16. Well when you keep weening out over every storm eventually you'll be right.
  17. Good point. Imagine the panic tomorrow if warnings go up for 12-18"+
  18. Is the public really aware of this. I know they generally expect snow just from talking to people but I feel the hype has been far less than the Jan storm.
  19. If it follows that playback then amounts will keep going up until start time
  20. I saw that and was in awe. I don't recall seeing a 60-72 hour ensemble prog that strong. The true scope of what's unfolding may not even be apparent yet if that's correct.
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