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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Here's another real test to see how legit these AI models are.
  2. SnoSki14
    Way too early to make this declaration. At this stage the Euro was completely OTS on yesterday's system
  3. SnoSki14
    Very consistent
  4. SnoSki14
    Massive cold dome with trough out west and SE ridge in place. This will yield a massive overrunning storm. Yes there will be a brick wall somewhere but good chance it ends up affecting areas pretty far north. Very PDII esque on AI models
  5. SnoSki14
    Biggies are coming
  6. SnoSki14
    A very wintry weekend. Looks like a snow globe out there. And it should stick around for a while. Only real melting day is Thursday
  7. SnoSki14
    It's def picking up on the overrunning though. I'm thinking its suppression bias due to overdoing the cold dome is in play right now but we'll see.
  8. SnoSki14
    And then a monster coastal after that. Would be an incredible achievement in AI weather modeling if it's even 80 percent correct.
  9. SnoSki14
    This is a nowcasting situation now. I've stopped looking at models
  10. SnoSki14
    What indicators could suggest this?
  11. SnoSki14
    If the HRRR is right it will explode quickly between now and 4
  12. SnoSki14
    Huge if the AI models are anywhere close to being right next weekend
  13. SnoSki14
    Nearly identical to GFS AI
  14. SnoSki14
    PNA will be positive and MJO moves to phase 8. Multiple factors aligning for something big. And some winters it just wants to snow. We've been seeing that so far this season. Yes no biggies yet but it's coming.
  15. SnoSki14
    I genuinely think the pattern is pretty loaded for a large overrunning Miller A/B type storm in late Jan. And it's showing up in spurts across op runs. With today's event the AI models had the best handle several days out so definitely keep an eye on what they show.
  16. SnoSki14
    It's gonna snow a lot. Don't believe the extreme suppression that's being shown.
  17. SnoSki14
    The suppression is overdone.
  18. SnoSki14
    Will get 2"+ with the banding in central nj
  19. SnoSki14
    Yeah it's really coming down. If the coastal delivers later we might reach the high end advisory totals
  20. SnoSki14
    Big cold dome in place with trough expanding west signals big overrunning potential imo. Models strongly hinting at this now.
  21. SnoSki14
    Really nice snows down to FL panhandle on models. The disconnect between the northern stream and the dead southern stream have made these unusual occurrences more plausible despite overall warming.
  22. SnoSki14
    At least today worked out. Take what you can get. I'm more interested in late Jan to early Feb...best potential in years.
  23. SnoSki14
    It's still useless beyond 12hrs and it was too far west with the heavier stuff.
  24. SnoSki14
    Best pattern in 5 years
  25. SnoSki14
    Hoping these little events are the precursor to an actual snowstorm in late Jan. Hard to believe its been 5 years since our last 12"+ snowstorm.
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