SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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HRRR is wrong. It didn't even get the initialized activity right
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There's a lot of rain on radar to come
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It's going to be feast of famine. You're either getting under an inch or 6"+
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Huge signal there
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Is that accurate. That's 10"+ in central NJ over the next 2 days
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Got skunked today which is good. Strong storms went north and south of me.
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You're dealing with heavy thunderstorms so amounts will vary considerably place to place. That's a huge signal that someone could get hammered (6"+) though. 1-3" per hour type stuff
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Thing is today is supposed to be much more widespread than yesterday as we have a clear trigger.
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Those higher probabilities should be adjusted N/NNE based on guidance
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Ensembles are showing a lot of rain as the heat breaks. Would not be surprised to see it go from drought conditions to flooding in a hurry.
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Temperatures dropped into the 60s for parts of northern NJ
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Wow that's wild.
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Very high launchpad with temps already 80-85F across the region. 105+ looks certain
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What a scorcher right now. A lot of places may not drop below 80F tonight and tomorrow night.
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Yeah it's only heatstroke
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86/71 right now. The roast begins
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So this isn't "typical" summer weather like some claim.
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It's not scaling back. 105+ readings on the table Thurs-Fri
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Good sign that higher temps will verify Thurs/Fri.
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There's enough mixing to get us there. The prolonged drought and peak sun will help a lot too. I'd be surprised if at least a couple places don't hit 105+
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Record breaking summer heat in a super Nino... we're so cooked
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What's with the cool pocket off of the northeast. -
I'm looking for a 105 in New Brunswick on Thursday or Friday.
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That's historic here in NJ. Ridge axis being a bit west could spare New England from 100s.
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105+ across Europe past few days. Records getting shattered every month and yet many will still claim CC has nothing to do with it.
