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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Wave spacing is poor as Bluewave said. A SE ridge would be nice right about now
  2. This last third of winter has been dog crap, thank God for Dec-Jan
  3. It's probably why the Euro AI looks like a wizard in comparison when it likely would have been on par or even below the GFS/CMC/Euro
  4. Agreed about the budget cuts. People have no idea how detrimental they've been to the public along with everything else horrible the administration has done to government agencies.
  5. Well it's more than just faster flow. It's more about competing influences that don't mesh together and a lot of that is due to multiple areas of forcing in the Pacific. We've also had a dearth of southern stream systems.
  6. It's the fast flow again. This time the spacing sucked. Coastal tracks are becoming rarer due to CC.
  7. Noticeable improvement which is good.
  8. It's ok if the op models aren't giving us a bullseye yet. However we need to see continued improvement on the ensembles.
  9. Or the Euro. Although its performance this season has been tepid at best.
  10. GFS has been hot garbage for a while including the GEFS too
  11. Remarkable consensus 5+ days out. The kind you really wish happened 24+ hours out instead because so much can go wrong. Ensembles will be key right now however getting the CMC on board is huge along with AI models which have been doing great.
  12. The 6z Euro showed a big improvement and that model has stunk lately too.
  13. I think if the previous system was strong then I agree but a weak shortwave 2 days ahead of the next is plenty of spacing imo.
  14. SNE with the double whammy Fri + Sun/Mon system
  15. Unfortunately they are still a bit out of range but really nice consensus
  16. At this point it's whatever. If it happens awesome, if not then spring is well on its way. Playing with house money on a solid B winter.
  17. The only model I'm watching is the Euro AI
  18. The preceding wave also shifts the boundary further east
  19. No but you do get more leeway in latter Feb with changing wavelengths and the usual indices no longer hitting the way they would in Dec through early Feb.
  20. This weekend is probably our last shot at another snowstorm. All indices turn unfavorable after this. March looks warm, maybe very warm.
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