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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG

  1. A gfs or cmc run or two won’t sway me from thinking this is still a weak event for the southern counties. More liquid then frozen. Better idea if this is a trend or an over correction come tomorrow.
  2. That’s cool. It’s a little bowed on the map heading south of NS. If only we could lock...
  3. Based on the kinky isobars, looks like nw of BDR-BOS line?
  4. That clown is for a day 8 deal, it’s all sne has hope for once again...a day7+ prayer.
  5. Yea. Zero expectations here. Hedging mostly wet. We’ll see if we can claw our way to some sloppiness though.
  6. TT not the best vendor but this setup looks like Pike+ deal. CT on the wrong side of the gradient yet again.
  7. Flooding rains for Fri while NNE gets crushed.
  8. Icon was not snowy for most and gfs looks warmer for Thur.
  9. White flags being raised across SNE this morning as the seasonal FU continues to slap us silly.
  10. It’s a new england vibe from architecture, culture, topography, and climate but geographically I still consider us a far northern burb of nyc. Danbury has a big population that works in the city and being in the same nws coverage area or a NYC sports fan also causes me to lean my thinking a bit more. But, it’s close imo.
  11. I just recall seeing a post at the start of winter that March would be our best month. Lately, in the panic thread, he says a stretch at the end of winter is our best shot.
  12. I think it was Raindance who practically called for a 2 week winter this year...early March.
  13. Exhausting tracking season. No feel for this one yet so we wait until after SB to start hedging.
  14. Never knew how bad it can get. Always seems like the sport is thriving with practically every course doing well.
  15. Ah that’s turrable. What problems does your course face?
  16. Yea. Hopefully it snaps back our way to save the tail end but that also would mean a cool/damp start to spring.
  17. Hoping to get out more this season (range and 18) now that the second kid will be 1 in March. I struggled last year. There’s only so many youtube training videos one can watch.
  18. If we are (easier for you) on the good side then could be a good stretch but if not...it’s the final nail in the coffin.
  19. Yup. A little more pull below thins out the press above. Too delicate until inside D4.
  20. No one should ever lock a seasonal forecast. While folks like Raymond put a lot of time and research into it...it’s still an educated guess of sort. Some seasons will be relatively forecasted pretty well and others will not. So many variables including CC (sorry Ginx) muck it up. I appreciate having the info available though.
  21. I’ll settle for anything if it can stay around for a few days but I’m reaching the ‘go big or bring spring’ mode as we approach V Day.
  22. It’s been a couple big events favoring the east that skews the numbers. I have faith we’ll eventually (maybe not this season) cash on on some bigger ones to even it out.
  23. He was referring to the gfs, I think, so if we took the average of the 4x day 7 op runs and compare to actual snowfall...it would easily illustrate why we call them clown maps. If we took the cmc, probably worse lol.
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