Lightning
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Everything posted by Lightning
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It gets harder as I age to get excited without reservation with marginal events. Excited yes but I have my A-L-E-X level of reservations on this one!!
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HRRR has surface temps going into the upper 30s. Too much warm air at the surface.
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Why are you looking over there? The stuff hitting Chicago is going to WI. The batch of moisture for MI is in the Memphis to Paducah areas currently.
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Not much to say really. It's all Chicago area right now. We play the waiting game. To be honest my excitement and expectations are just hoping to somehow get 6" out of this. Models are so so on that.
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Our event is down around the Memphis area right now. Need to watch how that evolves as it moves northward.
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Got to love these lake enhanced events!!
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0Z ETA and NMM runs will take care of us.
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Yeah the 9th storm ratios were terrible. Hopefully we can do a bit better. Yes looks like we will have a good snow base for the coming cold!! Plus some LES to keep flakes flying and fresh looking!!
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How does it look for Thundersnow potential over here??
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Alpena has been missed being in the bullseye by many storms in recent years. I hope this is your time!! Enjoy!!
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Shhh don't tell them. Any upgrades and it will ruin it.
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Enjoy. Should be a good one up there. Much needed for winter sports!!!
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I would take that with ~11"
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Bummer. I would burn a vacation day if I had established accommodations up there.
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Winner is of course @weatherbo
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Oh come on you suppose to say "finally a model showing the big dog properly" Does look like you have a very good chance of a second double digit storm in a week
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If I had a cabin up there I would be on my way right now!!
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Lately flights are delayed even with clear calm weather.
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If we don't lose the snow currently on the ground it should help. Starting from bare wet ground
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I am hoping we can get a 6" or so solid/glacier like base on the ground which the LES will freshen up.
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The 500mb VORT is a mess with this storm.
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Winter 2023/24 Short Range Discussion
Lightning replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I'll root for a good north trend for you!! -
Nice event today as it looks like MBY will end up with ~2" . Had about an 1" of snow remaining from the Jan 9th event (actually got a couple inches from the backlash) before this one started. So hopefully not much melting prior to tomorrow event as I would like to keep these few inches on the ground before it starts!!
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There have been some big LES events in the Thumb down to Port Huron. With the right NNE wind MBY had received a couple inches from Huron. It is similar to how Milwaukee down to Gary get LES events. They just don't make news/headlines when they happen being rural. Definitely not as common as the W to NW wind LES belts.
