Lightning

Interesting. Can't say I trust it. But might be driving to the best instability???

Drinking the NAM 3km cool-aid

They were originally expecting more storms over SE MI than what occurred. Most of SC/SE MI would have remained much cooler if the storms/clouds over Lake Erie/Huron were further west like was forecasted/modeled (by most models). The models that were furthest east were correct and these areas have remained mostly sunny and the push of warmth made if further east.

Wow 2.75 at Selfridge:

Couple times I was up there with graupel around Sept 28th. I don't think that will be the pattern this year but you never know in the UP

Hey I nailed it => "find a way to get to Detroit (Wayne county)" Storms missed MBY by about 20 miles (or less actually). Oh well. Hopefully something fun happens the next couple days. Lots of potential at least.

I got missed today by 20 miles to my east Good luck and enjoy!!

Looking too far east for MBY but I am sure it will find a way to get to Detroit (Wayne county). It just get tiring that something always seems to go wrong when the models are blasting this area. Been in the UP a total of 12 days this summer and have had far better T-storms up there!!! Time to be Bo's neighbor!!

Except no MCS developed as modeled. Pure Michigan!! Only took until 6AM for some storms to even develop in northern lower

Light rain (currently <0.1") here and temp at 66 @ 2PM. Sounds like you got some good rains today!! Hoping for something fun here in the next couple days.

My thought from driving around is the very cool nights (42F one of the nights I was there and it has been cooler previously). Lake shore areas I didn't notice much colors but the inland areas seemed to be where most of the colors are. That was my observations. Could likely just be a combination of all these factors

Had a couple chilly but awesome nights in the low to mid40s while backpacking in the Porcupine Mtns last week (good sleeping bags = no problem with cooler temps). Saw several spectacular shooting stars!!! No northern light last week but wasn't expecting any. Thankfully no smoke until the day we left!!!

I was backpacking in the Porcupine Mtns all last week, right on the Lake Superior shore. My tent was 100' off the shore when this hit. It was awesome to watch this come across LS and then jumped in the tent once it rain got heavy. Tons of streaks and wonderful loud thunders. Thankfully we did not get any overly strong/severe winds. Waves were awesome the next day 4-5'.

Just had my best CG of the year for me. Today's little tstorm a few minutes ago put one about 300' off my deck. Striking the lake. More importantly I was looking right at it.

Sunday night and Monday looks like a great chance for heavier rains. Corn and soy should be fine.

We had a few around here it seems to have improved as it head south of me. Novi, Wixon and Farmington Hills looks like they got it good!!

The past 30 minutes the flashes have increased quite a bit the red cell it nearly on top of me but it is all CC. No CG near me. No big thunders either. Still great to get a storm. Note: Not saying there isn't CG but it definitely wasn't on the north part of the storm.

Looks like my hail mary pass worked . Funny thing is they keep doing these tornado warnings. Winds were actually stronger before the storms to be honest. The lightning is not really frequent as I have one close strike IMBY. Heaviest rains have been 2-10 miles to my north as the first hour we were not getting anything but now I am finally getting rain!! This is usually the best position for great lightning but like I said it's not been very frequent.

Wow. Today is turning into an complete model failure. Several days of models showing 1-2" QPF with several rounds of big thunderstorms starting around 2PM. Currently the results are 0" of rain (I know a few areas to the south have gotten at least a little as AA to DTW seems to always at least get something). Radar right now has a few isolated shower/t-showers in GRR area. Hoping for the hail mary ending!!

Had a quick thunderstorm this evening.

Had a decent size hive on under my deck. We found out by the neighbors dogs that they do not like the color black. The black dog was getting attached left and right while the other dogs (various colors) were not being bothered much at all. Seeing this happen to the neighbors dog was how we found it (could not believe how big it was and we didn't see it before). Used one can about 11 PM which took out 2/3 of the hive. Waited a week for all to calm down. Used a second can night and the hive was all gone (got to the queen). Thank goodness I have mosquito backpacking covering otherwise I am not sure if I would have been stung or not (couldn't see much at 11PM at night).

https://twitter.com/judah47/status/1688969275397050386?s=20 Not sure why is only is showing as a link but some posted this within the replies:

Just wow.

There some Canadian Rocks snow (blue) for yah on the GFS :