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Lightning

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Everything posted by Lightning

  1. Lightning
    I am hoping we can get a 6" or so solid/glacier like base on the ground which the LES will freshen up.
  2. Lightning
    The 500mb VORT is a mess with this storm.
  3. Lightning
    I'll root for a good north trend for you!!
  4. Lightning
    Nice event today as it looks like MBY will end up with ~2" . Had about an 1" of snow remaining from the Jan 9th event (actually got a couple inches from the backlash) before this one started. So hopefully not much melting prior to tomorrow event as I would like to keep these few inches on the ground before it starts!!
  5. Lightning
    There have been some big LES events in the Thumb down to Port Huron. With the right NNE wind MBY had received a couple inches from Huron. It is similar to how Milwaukee down to Gary get LES events. They just don't make news/headlines when they happen being rural. Definitely not as common as the W to NW wind LES belts.
  6. Lightning
    I had a roommate at MTU from Midland area. He we was a weather buff too. He talked about the one time parts of Midland MI getting LES event ~4" off Saginaw Bay (and Huron) ... note this would have been in the 1980s.
  7. Lightning
    I have not heard of Toledo or Monroe ever getting a big east wind LES event. I know it is possible and probably has happened. At MTU (Houghton) a couple of my best LES events were E/ENE winds off Superior but they were not common to get at all.
  8. Lightning
    Does AA get LES during these outbreaks? Normally my area will get LES while not Allegan/GRR worthy it still can be decent. It is interesting how the LES band diminishes or even dies out prior to Lansing but then picks up over the hills around here.
  9. Lightning
    NAM being the NAM. Jan 8th/9th storm the NAM 48hour out had the LP in Wisconsin.
  10. Lightning
    Ensembles are expected to have a spread.
  11. Lightning
    #3 would require a suicide watch
  12. Lightning
    Today's storm doesn't have a big high pressure to the NW of it. This next storm has a big 1040+ high dropping in behind it. Plus there is a lead wave on Thursday, we need to see what it does.
  13. Lightning
    Or just use a broken ruler!!
  14. Lightning
    I had pingers for the entire storm last year when area's to my south were getting a massive ice storm. So it definitely can happen.
  15. Lightning
    Looks like you both should do well. Would be surprised if you get upgraded to warning. I was just a Petoskey last week. It was crazy seeing so little snow. Thankfully that is finally over
  16. Lightning
    Couple inches on the ground prior to noon now rain. Next he wait game to switch back later tonight and the backlash tomorrow for this system. Nice to finally have a real storm event!! Hope you all in IL/WI/IA enjoy!!
  17. Lightning
    Truth!! I didn't have much expectation here either other than snow=> rain => snow type storm. This storm is well west of here and moving up into cool/stale air but not arctic. So far the results are not surprising.
  18. Lightning
    This has a Jan 1999 look to it for this area.
  19. Lightning
    This post makes ZERO sense.
  20. Lightning
    I'll take the National Championship thank you
  21. Lightning
    It would be fun to get one of those double barrel systems with a strong easterly flow that push a ton of Atlantic moisture our way. Or maybe another 1993 Superstorm with a track shifted westward up the Spine of the Appalachian mountains. One can dream right.
  22. Lightning
    I would plan a couple weeks active; then it will back off and a period of calmer/warmer (as we roll through the undesired MJO phases); then an active February (the question is where GL/OV or MA/EC or both).
  23. Lightning
    Just got back this weekend from 10+ days of traveling around. Got some skiing in in Petoskey. All man made but not bad. Excited to finally get a real stormy pattern . I'll take snow => rain => snow on this first storm. Much better than boring mild clouds.
  24. Lightning
    The big thing I have noticed is we used to know the model biases much better before but now the amplified errors seem more various. Could just be my perception but that's my observation.
  25. Lightning
    What could go wrong
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