RedSky

Clouds kept the temperature up this morning. Like the only cold fail this fall. 21F low. .

^ No matter what happens it will still be 70F for the Holidays

29F in Pensacola Florida just two weeks after Halloween

19F low

This just in- it's cold as the actual fook outside

I member the mint Milano's

Weather World Paul Knight winter forecast is mild wet December, cold snowy January, and milder wet icy February. Sounds like 2011 outside of icy February and he likes it milder at holiday time?

.9" SN in Richmond talk about an early season snow anomaly wow

Incredibly we almost do the record cold again this weekend only that cold slab a tad to the north.

Just a few days off with the snow and near the same level of record cold air mass only difference is the core cold struck the mid west and south harder this time and has a more NE trajectory as it exits. Any mathematicians in the house what are the odds of this in back to back Novembers love to know.

Some things never change like the Hrrr for instance Big fat T of snow here some errant flakes left

Hey just a T same as last year, identical winter coming

Crickets still alive for some reason here, last night for that.

Cosgrove thinks a milder than normal remainder of November after the arctic shot through mid December at least. MJO supports it but -AO is a conflicting signal for the mildness the remainder of the month should prove interesting. Most likely a normal average from mid month the next 30 days with significant short lived cold shots.

NYC in jeopardy of breaking the record for it's earliest below 20F reading and 32F max temperature next week. Mind blowing...and numbing

Is there a reason low temperatures frequently bust low this fall it's unusual, after crushing it last night getting down to 20F it's already at 32F with a previous forecast of 30F overnight. Btw Trenton broke a record low last night by 5F! That is almost unheard of in this age of warm. Next week an even colder airmass is on the way. This is the kind of too early anomalous cold i was fretting about. On track i see for the coldest first half of November since 1976, following last years record PV cold mid month. I hate to say it but Isotherm is going to nail the winter forecast lol.

Just saying 8-9" imby in an extra long winter for the region that was drawn out Nov-Mar was clearly my worst. Oh and multiple major arctic outbreaks thrown in too. Locally it was an over flowing septic tank of a winter. It was the most frozen mud one will ever see.

GFS has morphed into just that. Hello winter 2019 you were the worst.

Winter 2021 should be a good one

Isotherm's winter outlook is rather grim

0z runs will help clarify things...

ECM and Ukie in near perfect agreement so there it is.

Too early and we are not past weenie handbook rule #11 and what will the 12z ECM say. New GFS is like an 86 Ford Escort.

Ukie is an apps cutter. Good times are here again.

Looks like a partial PV intrusion this month not the full scale lobe like last November. Far below normal but not the 30F below like last year that was insane.