Hurricane Agnes

Finally got gully washer rains this morning - almost 2"/hr rates at around 4:30 am. Ended up with a high of 85 yesterday and 0.38" rain and a low of 68 this morning (so far). Currently 69 with heavy rain and 0.99" additional at post time (1.37" 2-day total so far).

PHL reported almost 3.5" this evening (so far). I am at 0.24" and temp of 73.

Looks like it got warmer than progged here. Currently up to 85 and still humid. Cold front seemed to be something warmer than a cool front.

Yeah, it's pretty toasty along the path (from earlier today but had more data) -

LOL I was thinking about it yesterday but then it all hinges on what the Bermuda High does. A future Helene might also be a concern given that it looks to form and track further south than Florence's position and track.... And then there is a possible Isaac on the table too (both disturbances are currently at a 90% chance of cyclone formation). You could maybe start a "Tropical threats" thread...

Ended up at 93 for a high yesterday, which was a couple degrees higher than the previous 2 days. Low this morning was 73. The front seemed to have come through after 6:30 last evening dropping the dews a bit, but the temps were slow coming down the rest of the night. Heard a huge rumbling clap of thunder last night but didn't get any rain. So far am at 26 days @ 90 or above from May through yesterday (21 days during meteorological Summer June - Aug). Current temp is 75 and mostly cloudy.

Maxed out at 92 yesterday and currently 78 this morning, with dp 71 at post time. Off to the races!

Ended up with a high of 91 and low of 74 yesterday and currently 75. I saw that KDOX got walloped with a lightning strike last Friday and will be down for some time. I know I often use KDOX for radar to get a slightly different view and more notably when KDIX is out.

I hear ya. And I expect the Philly schools will probably have to be let out early for a couple more days this week due to no A/C and heat advisories in place.

I remember when I was little and in elementary school, it used to almost always be hot that first week of school and we looked ridiculous in our brand new heavier-weight "fall" school clothes (that we insisted on wearing) when it was in the 80s and 90s. Of course back then we couldn't wear jeans or shorts to school either. lol

Had a low of 75 this morning and currently 87 with a surprisingly rare, almost all-blue sky (save for a small cloud here and there). Dews are in the upper 60s - low 70s so a bit steamy out.

For me, the most dramatic was this morning when the sun was due to rise ~6:30 am and because of the cloud cover, it was barely twilightish at 7 am! Current temp is 82 and partly cloudy and not too bad out. The lull before what will probably be the last (extended) blast of heat.

Reposting from the summer thread here - An update obs - currently 76 and mostly cloudy. Seemed the sun wanted to pop out earlier but never made it (at least yet). It's also a bit damp and muggy. Not seeing anything firing up on the radar but probably need to keep an eye out on the Caribbean in case something forms and moves into the GOM... because if it does and the ridge is still in place, that'll pump some slop up this way. TS Florence is still a ways away however but still monitoring that too...

Looks like KDIX is back up and running. Kudos to the techs for that, especially with the Friday progged storms !

I think because of incidents like this (1/26 - 1/27/15) - http://www.philly.com/philly/news/Meteorologists_apologize_for_busted_forecast.html Many were hugging the Euro and dissing the lowly GFS - http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/weather/Snow-What-went-wrong.html I think that is why today, you are seeing folks bemoaning the rise and fall of the mighty Euro.... and as much as we laugh about being "NAM'd", I expect that sometimes the NAM does have the right idea but with the details obscured in the overdoneness of a burnt steak on the barbie. You can hunt around and find the pbp thread(s) here in the forum of that 2015 flizzard.

Maybe GOES-16 will help (or not) - https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES-R-Launch Still a ways off from what impact that will have in the future, but it will have some just due to the resolution of its instruments. I think a lot of what we see today is also driven by the 24/7 world where schools, businesses, and governmental entities increasingly demand precise measures in order to activate certain responses to the more severe sensible weather (i.e., closures, postponements, evacuations) and that leads to model-hugging in order to tease out those numbers and report them as soon as possible. However we have seen time and time again a long range model "see" something 10 days out and then lose it in the mid-range, and then resurrect it again in the short range/nowcast period. IMHO, that type of whiplash seems to cause some to overthink or lose the forest for the trees. Overall, I doubt at this point that "weather" for mass consumption will ever go back to appealing to met fans. TWC used to do it but long sense decided to leave that niche world and go for drama over substance.

The true story (need to go to youtube to view) -

When a storm threat is on the horizon, folks reappear rather quickly and do some great pbps of the models. The past year, winter weather lovers got a screw job. There is just a different climatological thing going on here compared to D.C. or NYC metro.

The "pile" will make itself. Won't need to shovel to create one with this storm.

There you are! People thought our resident squirrel fled to chase a blizzard elsewhere!

Because this - Almost 37 years ago I had to make a decision during college orientation on whether to major in meteo (a love since I was 8) and chemistry (something I was aceing in HS). And due to the mimimal job prospects back in the late '70s for meteorologists, I chose chemistry as the practical major because it offered more work options. I am on track to retire next year after 30+ years. Coming to boards like this, I got direct or link access to all sorts of resources - including models and working meteorologists - allowing me to digest someone's analysis - whether red-tagger or meteo student or "advanced" hobbyist, and then do a check on what I thought I saw and compare - just by reading. Part of the problem that happens here is that the minute someone makes an attempt at a model analysis and gets it "wrong", a pile-on ensues, the degree of which dependent on how bold and perhaps (overly) confident they were when they wrote it. And the "wrong" may have been something not really weenie but truly due to lack of experience, etc. Of course this naturally requires thicker skin but sometimes it encourages big ego posters rather than those brave enough to post and hope for a mature critique. So many of us just enjoy lurking and contributing obs or occassional opinions after review of model runs to help fill in the climatological info on the area -whether ahead, during, and post storm (or even during "quiet" periods) while we engage in our hobby. Many of us also post on other forums (including non-meteo ones) so it's not like we are all here 24/7. As it was during the eastern days, there are folks who are winter/cold-lovers and were thus absent during the summers and vice versa, with those who like severe/tropical and participate more during those seasons. But if the Admins here want to close the board to red-taggers and students only, then so be it. In the past, the single-region threads often filled up quickly during storms and there was a battle on who would start (and when) the "new thread"... as well as other nonsense of chasing people out of the regional threads who were not from there and other childish bull****. Otherwise some of you all protesteth too much.

Wow. I usually try to check in often to see what is going on and just saw this thread. There are quite a few of us who do more lurking than posting but we are here (and yes, some of us are paying members ) and when events happen, we usually pop up and chime in. But given the more benign weather patterns of late, it's been relatively quiet in here. I think after past years of threats that became a big fail and other issues like wacked-out models that caused municipal over-reactions. etc.), plus this year's El Nino handwriting-on-the-wall, then I think that's why it seems dead (with less banter and model posting). But if you look in past threads when storms were imminent and/or on-going, there has been a lot of good discussion without all the weenie and left-field bravado posts. IMHO, the microclimates here (Delaware Valley) really are a bit different, being a blend between Mid-Atlantic and NYC and I do appreciate the folks in this region providing "heads-up" posts as storms move from west -> east or south -> north. Unless the admins think this is a waste of their resources, then I don't see why it can't remain the way it is.

He declared a state of emergency in preparation for the Pope (who was not setting foot in NJ). lol Although in all seriousness, that low that was south of here off the coast spinning for days plus the cold front and stuff about to run up the front, has been tearing up the beaches (none of that due to Joaquin). It's just sad.

I had an old pic of me and my sister after the blizzard of '66 (we had on Yogi Bear boots ), which I think was a 12"er. After that, '67 - '77 (1st grade --> sophmore in HS) was essentially a snow drought. Decent sleddng conditions were few and far between. First decent snowman was crafted in '78. But then senior class trip to the Poconos in January '79 resulted in 40s and rain that weekend. I think in comparison, the past 5 years have been pretty phenomenal for snow lovers.

He has a twitter feed here - https://twitter.com/larrycosgrove I don't do twitter but will occasionally look at public feeds...