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Hurricane Agnes

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Everything posted by Hurricane Agnes

  1. Something made up for it overnight but I had to have had another 4" overnight and it's still going. There is a narrow diffuse "band" across the city that is producing bubbles of heavier rates, that is coming out of the NE. The temp briefly tapped 32 about an hour ago but it has been hanging around 31 for the most part overnight. Currently 31 with light snow and fog.
  2. You're a youngin'. There's plenty more time for non-Miller Bs. Whenever you get a whiff of "Mr. Miller B" in the air, run the other way from the models, assume a dry slot will set up somewhere near or on top of you, or you get stuck under the subsidence of some Canadian high, and you'll get screwed while someone else cashes in. And if you are fortunate to get under a norlun, celebrate.
  3. Have been under SN- for the past hour or so but at least there's no sleet mixed in. The deathband is to the north. Will have to see if/when the storm starts drifting NE whether it will pivot this way. Currently 29 with dp 28 and light snow & fog.
  4. You could try ballparking from their ASOS (which I believe is what gets reported in the LSRs), although I wouldn't know what ratio to use - https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KABE.html
  5. Yup. That was my concern if that thing sits and spins and slowly creeps to the NE with us just coming off a full moon a few days ago.
  6. Finally got up to SN with some blowing and fog now. Temp is 31 and dp 30 some a definite change underway.
  7. He just came back on again a couple minutes ago and said he expected "heavy snow tonight" that will be "tapering off", but then tomorrow there would be "periods of snow"-- so maybe he's thinking of a few wrap-around bands if that low meanders off the Jersey coast. Rates are picking up just a touch here now. Not quite out of the SN- but still no pingers in it, even with the temp slowly creeping up.
  8. You don't need a model to tell you a dry slot will be there. Because. Miller B. Still snowing here but SN- and not mixing with anything. Temp is now up to 31 & dp 29. Hearing Glenn on KYW right now and he is saying "it may be snowing all day tomorrow". And then saying the leftovers might still be going into Wednesday.
  9. If that verifies (and it seems that most forecasts have said "long duration") that will just tear up the coastal areas. We are just coming off a full moon a few days ago too.
  10. It took over 14 hours but now getting flakes. Good sized ones too... not the fine stuff like what was mixed in with the FZRA/sleet earlier. This seems to be all wet snow.
  11. The potential is there, and we have seen it, for some heavy bands to move back over the area from NW --> SE as the low moves away to the NE and if that movement is "slow", someone can get under a deathband with the pivot. At that point, it would be pulling colder air from further north over land vs pulling stuff in off the ocean with water temps in the 40s/50s or more (below pic from yesterday's readings).
  12. Now have all sleet. Must have almost an inch so far since last night and it has completely compacted my fluffy 4.5 " down to maybe a couple inches. Temp holding at 30. The hot pink on the radar, at least in NW Philly, is sleet.
  13. Last surface map. Still sleet/snow/rain mix here and temp now up to 30. All I can say is "Miller Bs are gonna Miller B". When I see models all over the map, I say "must be a Miller B". I think we are at a "warmer" part of the day too so may still get a back-end thump to make up for it in the sleet zones late this afternoon and overnight, especially if that low gets cut off.
  14. This. I had finally gone to bed last night around 11ish but woke up just after midnight to hear the sleet up against my windows and woke up again at 3 am and still sleet. Got up around 4:15 am and sleet. There was a brief period when the precip did stop early this morning, but that didn't last too long. Currently a mix of sleet/snow/FZRA (heavier on the sleet side) and 29.
  15. Still have a light rain/fine snow mix with some tiny IP mixed in. Temp still holding at 29. ETA Mt. Holly's last snow map.
  16. Still have a snow/sleet/FZRA mix with temp hanging at 29. Some places are getting walloped though!
  17. Now getting a FZRA/sleet/snow mix with mostly FZRA. Temp is 29 with dp 26.
  18. There is warmish air backing into the coast from the ESE. The coastal is trying to form however.
  19. Note that this is probably not showing what is going on up higher in the atmosphere with some warm (ocean) air intrusion.
  20. Sleet has switched to a ZR and light snow mix. Temp is up to 29 with dp 26. This is just cool azz...
  21. South Jersey into the Philly metro area was always in the "mix" (sleet/freezing rain/snow) zone during the transition between the two different storms (the one coming from the west and the one forming out in the Atlantic). So this was pretty much predicted. The bigger issue will be how and where the coastal Atlantic storm sets up and the precipitation from that will supposedly go all day, all night, and into tomorrow.
  22. Miller Bs are "2-part storms". This is finishing up "part 1". Part 2 will happen later today and supposedly overnight and into tomorrow morning.
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