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Hurricane Agnes

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  1. Seems the NAM's "dry" forecast is standing alone. GFS & GEM are not having it (although the GEM sortof spares I95).
  2. 12z GFS still holding with a juicy overrunning storm...
  3. It's drier! anthonyweather beat me to the maps but can add the snow map and the overall 24hr qpf.
  4. That's what I'm wondering too although some cold air is supposed to sink down over the area to chill things down (with some temp undulation as the storm moves in - at least looking at the below verbatum).
  5. I would get the salt out... This seems almost like a weaker warmer version of the pre-VD storm (Feb. 12/13), with the snow pushed much further north.
  6. 6z GFS has ~1.5" qpf. What that qpf will consist of is the question! I also think what is going to drive this other than the CAD is that apparently there is a lifting warm front and depending on how fast and how far it lifts, that will determine what the precipitation type will be and where. From what I recall, some models may bias on moving the warm front north too fast (and that probably depends on the time of year too).
  7. I don't know where Levi has the site hosted but I do know he lives in Hawai'i so he is 6 hours difference from here and if he was having maintenance done on it, it would currently be very early morning there.
  8. Am getting this trying the site - They might be doing some maintenance, etc.
  9. The 6z Euro has now picked up on the NAM's earlier double low jawn. Adding the Canadian now sortof in range.
  10. The 6zs this morning (EC is still running) - GFS and a LOL @ the NAM.
  11. AND the 2nd day of "the week" (obviously depending on when you consider the start of a week). Heard the math-lovers are having a field day (citing that along with that day of the week's name, this is something like a 1 in 4 million occurrence... per a report I heard on KYW). Low this morning has so far been 38 and it's currently 41 with dp 39.
  12. 18z GFS/EC - mix to rain in southern part of CWA (although the 18z for the EC does not go out far enough to show the end of it).
  13. After a low of 26 this morning, made it up to 57. It's currently sunny and 56 with dp 28.
  14. 18z NAM still showing 2 systems impacting part of the CWA where the GFS/Euro/CAN are sliding that first one to the south of here...
  15. 12z EC like the 12z GFS - rain to the south and frozen pushed to the north.
  16. 12z GFS holding as a mix/ZR to rain for the southern part of the CWA, keeping the sleet mostly north. ETA the 12z Canadian showing the same type of setup.
  17. It has some odd antecedent thing going before it starts to align with the other models to show the main event going into the weekend (which mostly occurs outside of the NAM's range at the moment). ETA - the 6z hires EC is actually showing that antecedent feature too but it has it further south than the NAM so it slides below the CWA (and is all rain).
  18. 0z EC got its senses back and went with a non-phased slider for the end of month storm that it originally had (that GFS didn't).
  19. 6z GFS continues the 0z trends (its own & EC's) mix to rain solution for the Feb 25 storm. The 0z Canadian also has a mix to rain but mirrored the earlier icier solutions from yesterday.
  20. GFS 6z is still running but the 0z's change was to push most of the the ice further north and end as rain along Philly metro after an initial icing... The 0z Euro is generally mostly rain along the same southern part of the CWA through the event. It's all gonna depend on where the freezing line sets up.
  21. Some obs for today - after a low of 18 this morning, I made it up to 37 and it's currently 30 with dp 22.
  22. 12z Canadian is showing a full on ice/ZR storm. (although snow up north)
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