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Hurricane Agnes

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Everything posted by Hurricane Agnes

  1. Hurricane Agnes
  2. Hurricane Agnes
    If the arctic cold blast occurs as progged, the ratios far N/W should have some higher ratios out of that. Down here? Probably not much!
  3. Hurricane Agnes
    I'm sorry but... You are hilarious.
  4. Hurricane Agnes
    There is supposed to be a major cold air intrusion and flash freeze behind this as it departs. Saturday night low is listed as 20 for the city alone. Sunday's high is supposed to be below normal in the mid-upper 30s metro & SE, and less N/W.
  5. Hurricane Agnes
    Just got back in after doing a "french toast snow run" Here's the Euro 12z 10:1 & Snow Depth.
  6. Hurricane Agnes
    12z GFS (and corresponding update to the NBM).
  7. Hurricane Agnes
  8. Hurricane Agnes
  9. Hurricane Agnes
    NAM (at least the 3k) is doing a "double low" thing.
  10. Hurricane Agnes
    SPC actually has parts of the CWA in Marginal and Slight Risk for severe for SWDY2 (am guessing due to winds) - SWDY1 (not sure if this means we will have some convective t-storms from the nor'easter - possibly due to the low starting to bomb as it moves away plus the temp changes to come, but it seems to suggest it) - SWDY2 -
  11. Hurricane Agnes
    WPC's update for this morning -
  12. Hurricane Agnes
    Here was Mt. Holly's storm summary just before 6 am - (flash freeze for us in the SE)
  13. Hurricane Agnes
    6z NAM with the temp timing. And note since this is a nor'easter, there will be some strong winds with it.
  14. Hurricane Agnes
    I know it's the 6z GFS (a 12z would be better) but just for the heck of it to look at what it thinks the timing is for the cold.
  15. Hurricane Agnes
    Waiting for today's WPC update from yesterday evening but even then, it was a non-zero chance for 4+" in much of the CWA except S/E with yesterday's evaluation. IMHO, if that low somehow moves east of where the models have shown it, all that heavier frozen moves east with it.
  16. Hurricane Agnes
    I think the issue may be that the low is much stronger than what we saw with the last storm and is juicier, so more total qpf available. The timing of the cold as the heavier precip departs will be key.
  17. Hurricane Agnes
    6z GFS (cold air coming in faster).
  18. Hurricane Agnes
    (these will probably become WWAs)
  19. Hurricane Agnes
    Mt. Holly overnight update and snow map (will definitely get updated this morning with the WSWs and Watch issued since the below) -
  20. Hurricane Agnes
    6z REGEM (and throwing in the 0z Ukie for good measure).
  21. Hurricane Agnes
    6z NAM takes it back a bit and NBM is trying to keep up with the wild swings.
  22. Hurricane Agnes
    0z GFS - seems something that came in on the west coast got sampled and they are moving the low east.
  23. Hurricane Agnes
    18z EC (everyone cashes in with "something" ).
  24. Hurricane Agnes
    18z RGEM in the compromise position between NAM/EC and GFS.
  25. Hurricane Agnes
    Had a low of 31 this morning (with the freezing fog and frost on the car) and made it up to 51 as a high, with on and off sun. Currently 46 with dp 35.
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